Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Market dynamics remain healthy which suggests a new broad-based bull market is not far off. With that said, we are still waiting for confirmation in the form of breakouts or bullish price inflections on the broad global indexes (ACWI-US, ACWX-US, EFA-US, and EEM-US) in order to turn bullish.<ul type="disc">
<li>
Actionable Theme: Major Autos/Auto Parts. Global automobile stocks display bullish price and RS inflections with many breaking out to new highs -- add exposure... see pages 3 and 5-6.</li>
<li>
Actionable Theme: Financials. There continues to be a plethora of attractive Financial stocks globally, ranging from banks and insurance to financial services -- add exposure... see pages 4 and 6-14.</li>
</ul>

Market dynamics remain healthy which suggests a new broad-based bull market is not far off. With that said, we are still waiting for confirmation in the form of breakouts or bullish price inflections on the broad global indexes (ACWI-US, ACWX-US, EFA-US, and EEM-US) in order to turn bullish.

Actionable Theme: Major Autos/Auto Parts. Global automobile stocks display bullish price and RS inflections with many breaking out to new highs -- add exposure... see pages 3 and 5-6.

Actionable Theme: Financials. There continues to be a plethora of attractive Financial stocks globally, ranging from banks and insurance to financial services -- add exposure... see pages 4 and 6-14.


Buying Global Financials & Autos/Auto Parts

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Hua Hong Semi, Ntes, Kingboard, Biren Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Hua Hong Semi, Ntes, Kingboard, Biren Tech.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Alibaba, Kingboard, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Xiaomi, Meituan, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Alibaba, Kingboard, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas, Xiaomi, Meituan, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 3rd): Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Alibaba, Kingboard, China Mobile

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 3rd): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Meituan

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The explosive growth in licensing service revenue, the significant increase in gross margin, and the narrowing of adjusted losses have verified that MOMENTA's business model possesses the ability for self-optimization</li>
<li>Core risks are high customer concentration, self-research/substitution by automakers, high R&amp;D investment.Compared with competitors, MOMENTA has advantages in mass production/global layout, but has weaknesses in hardware/software integration and self-developed chips.</li>
<li>MOMENTA, as a pure software solution provider, is expected to have a valuation lower than that of Huawei's vehicle business unit but higher than that of ordinary SaaS companies.</li>
</ul>


The explosive growth in licensing service revenue, the significant increase in gross margin, and the narrowing of adjusted losses have verified that MOMENTA's business model possesses the ability for self-optimization
Core risks are high customer concentration, self-research/substitution by automakers, high R&amp;D investment.Compared with competitors, MOMENTA has advantages in mass production/global layout, but has weaknesses in hardware/software integration and self-developed chips.
MOMENTA, as a pure software solution provider, is expected to have a valuation lower than that of Huawei's vehicle business unit but higher than that of ordinary SaaS companies.


Pre-IPO Momenta Global (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

China

Li Auto Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles, including extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Their product line includes multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs) and sport utility vehicles (SUVs). The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

Buying Global Financials & Autos/Auto Parts

Global automobile stocks display bullish price and RS inflections with many breaking out to new highs. Financials are attractive globally, ranging...

Vermilion Research

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 10th): Tencent, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK), Alibaba...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 3rd): Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Alibaba, Kingboard, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK), Smic (981 HK), Alibaba...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 3rd): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Meituan

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Momenta Global (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The IPO pricing of MOMENTA is HK$295.6 per share, with market value of HK$69.6 billion or RMB60.3 billion. If based on our 2026 forecast, P/S would...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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