Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; </li>
<li>What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;</li>
<li>Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.</li>
</ul>


Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; 
What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;
Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.


[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

<ul>
<li>China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;</li>
<li>China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;</li>
<li>ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.</li>
</ul>


China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;
China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;
ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.


Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

<ul>
<li>
Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;</li>
<li>
EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;</li>
<li>
SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...</li>
</ul>



Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;

EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;

SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...


China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

<ul>
<li>TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)</li>
<li>1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)</li>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)
1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)
1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）</li>
<li>300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）</li>
<li>ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）
300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）
ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

This week's macro data pointed to gradual recovery. We also found new focus on profitability by leading companies, which is a good sign.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

This week's macro data pointed to gradual recovery. We also found new focus on profitability by leading companies, which is a good sign.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

​China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

​Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

​Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...