External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.</li><li>Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

<ul><li>According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>PV retail sales volume in 2023 rose 6% YoY to 21.7mn units. Wholesale volume rose 23% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.79mn units in Dec 2023, the best Dec in history, and 11% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>PV wholesale volume rose 11% YoY to 26.06mn units in 2023, the highest in China’s history.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher than our prior forecast.PV retail sales volume in 2023 rose 6% YoY to 21.7mn units. Wholesale volume rose 23% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.79mn units in Dec 2023, the best Dec in history, and 11% higher than our prior forecast.PV wholesale volume rose 11% YoY to 26.06mn units in 2023, the highest in China’s history.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Attractive valuation with likely resilient earnings

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect Li Auto’s 4Q23E net profit to rise 2% QoQ to RMB 2.9bn, or a net profit of RMB 21,850 per vehicle.</li><li>We lower our FY24E net profit by 14% to RMB 12.6bn amid a prolonged price war.</li><li>We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Li Auto’s 4Q23E net profit to rise 2% QoQ to RMB 2.9bn, or a net profit of RMB 21,850 per vehicle.We lower our FY24E net profit by 14% to RMB 12.6bn amid a prolonged price war.We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q23 earnings preview: NP to be flat QoQ

<ul><li>We summarize the Dec 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Dec 2023, in line with our prior expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Dec 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Dec 2023, in line with our prior expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with More than Half Brands’ Discounts Reaching All-Time Highs

<ul><li>We summarize the Dec 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Dec 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with Rising NEV Leading Indicators

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Attractive valuation with likely resilient earnings

According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q23 earnings preview: NP to be flat QoQ

We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.

CMB International

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with More than Half Brands’ Discounts Reaching All-Time Highs

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Nov 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Dec...

CMB International

China Auto Sector: 2023 Ended with Rising NEV Leading Indicators

We summarize the Dec 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

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