HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Acotec Scientific Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. </li>
<li>Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.</li>
<li>Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it's just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.</li>
</ul>


Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. 
Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.
Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it's just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) - The Company Is Now In Trouble

Equity Capital Markets

MicroPort Cardiac Rhythm Management / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MicroPort CRM got into CRM device field with global layout mainly through M&amp;A. However, revenue growth in the past three years was unsatisfactory and losses were increasing year by year.</li>
<li>The situation where Boston Scientific/Medtronic/Abbott dominate CRM device overseas markets wouldn’t change. Although China market has big potential theoretically, the actual space remains to be seen due to various challenges.</li>
<li>This IPO application could be aimed at achieving the terms of redemption agreement. Even MicroPort CRM is not in good shape, it is still better than Microport’s other listed subsidiaries.  </li>
</ul>


MicroPort CRM got into CRM device field with global layout mainly through M&amp;A. However, revenue growth in the past three years was unsatisfactory and losses were increasing year by year.
The situation where Boston Scientific/Medtronic/Abbott dominate CRM device overseas markets wouldn’t change. Although China market has big potential theoretically, the actual space remains to be seen due to various challenges.
This IPO application could be aimed at achieving the terms of redemption agreement. Even MicroPort CRM is not in good shape, it is still better than Microport’s other listed subsidiaries.  


Pre IPO MicroPort Cardiac Rhythm Management - The Industry, the Business and the Challenges Ahead

<ul>
<li>With the launch of new products and their accelerated admission to hospitals, Acotec's revenue streams become more diversified, which would enhance its own risk resistance ability and core competitiveness.</li>
<li>Considering market size/increasing competition, Acotec’s growth ceiling is obvious if relies solely on domestic market. It becomes crucial whether Boston Scientific's acquisition would bring expected value or have other intentions.</li>
<li>How much room for improvement in future valuation depends on Acotec's performance in overseas markets. After all, if there is no internationalization breakthrough, Acotec's valuation logic would not be reshaped.</li>
</ul>


With the launch of new products and their accelerated admission to hospitals, Acotec's revenue streams become more diversified, which would enhance its own risk resistance ability and core competitiveness.
Considering market size/increasing competition, Acotec’s growth ceiling is obvious if relies solely on domestic market. It becomes crucial whether Boston Scientific's acquisition would bring expected value or have other intentions.
How much room for improvement in future valuation depends on Acotec's performance in overseas markets. After all, if there is no internationalization breakthrough, Acotec's valuation logic would not be reshaped.


Acotec Scientific (6669.HK) - What Value Boston Scientific Will Bring Is Crucial to Future Valuation

<ul>
<li>Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.</li>
<li>The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.</li>
<li>Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.</li>
</ul>


Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.
The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.
Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Investors should note that even when there’re technical bottlenecks and domestic enterprises' products are not yet mature, the government would still start centralized procurement, such as cardiac pacemaker.</li>
<li>The FDA has changed game rules and tighten the standards for accelerated approval. Together with the IRA, will the US really start limiting drug prices due to economic/financial pressure?</li>
<li>The relationship between fundamentals and stock prices is complicated. Beta would disappear without fundamentals, because fundamentals include not only objective facts, but also those generated by consensus brought by cognition.</li>
</ul>


Investors should note that even when there’re technical bottlenecks and domestic enterprises' products are not yet mature, the government would still start centralized procurement, such as cardiac pacemaker.
The FDA has changed game rules and tighten the standards for accelerated approval. Together with the IRA, will the US really start limiting drug prices due to economic/financial pressure?
The relationship between fundamentals and stock prices is complicated. Beta would disappear without fundamentals, because fundamentals include not only objective facts, but also those generated by consensus brought by cognition.


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.7)- Pacemaker VBP, FDA Changes Game Rule, Industry Beta Vs Fundamentals

China

Lifetech Scientific Corporation develops, manufactures and markets minimally invasive interventional medical devices for cardiovascular and peripheral vascular diseases and disorders.  The Company produces congenital heart defect occluders, vena cava filters, stent grafts, balloon catheters, and vascular plugs.

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Lifetech Scientific (1302 HK)

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) - The Company Is Now In Trouble

Acotec’s 2023 results were disappointing due to VBP and anti-corruption campaign. Growth of core products declined significantly and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre IPO MicroPort Cardiac Rhythm Management - The Industry, the Business and the Challenges Ahead

MicroPort CRM's' business layout mainly comes from the acquisition of LivaNova, but it's hard to achieve breakthrough in market share. The Company...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Acotec Scientific (6669.HK) - What Value Boston Scientific Will Bring Is Crucial to Future Valuation

There're many highlights in Acotec’s performance last year,but growth ceiling is obvious if rely solely on China market.Boston Scientific's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

It's time to talk about the 2nd wave of COVID in China.Investors need to understand deep meaning/valuation logic of China's core assets so as not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.7)- Pacemaker VBP, FDA Changes Game Rule, Industry Beta Vs Fundamentals

China starts pacemaker VBP, which worth investors' vigilance. FDA changes game rules on accelerated approval standards. Beta disappears without...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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