Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.</li>
</ul>


Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.
Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX has outperformed the KOSDAQ 150 Index, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Skc (011790 KS), Korea Aerospace (047810 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Skc (011790 KS), Korea Aerospace (047810 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Skc, Korea Aerospace

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD483.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,135mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD483.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,135mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 14th): Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower than current price.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to its NAV, we have a Negative View of Doosan Corp. </li>
<li>Considering Doosan Group's repeated corporate governance concerns in the past decade, our holdco discount estimate of 50% is probably generous. </li>
</ul>


Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower than current price.
Given the lack of upside relative to its NAV, we have a Negative View of Doosan Corp. 
Considering Doosan Group's repeated corporate governance concerns in the past decade, our holdco discount estimate of 50% is probably generous. 


Doosan Corp - NAV Valuation Analysis Amid Index Rebalance Expectations

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD457.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD259mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) .</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD457.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD259mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) .


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Electronics

South Korea

LIG Nex1 Co., Ltd. manufactures military and defense weapon systems.  The Company develops missiles, radio equipment, torpedoes, radar equipment, and other defense products.  LIG Nex1 produces weapons for the global defense industry and operates throughout South Korea.

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LIG Nex1 Co (079550 KS)

Korea Short Selling: Off to the Races

Data indicates positioning in different types of trades ranging from index pairs to forecast index deletions and stocks with high forward PEs. Some...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Skc, Korea Aerospace

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Skc (011790 KS), Korea Aerospace (047810 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 14th): Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Doosan Corp - NAV Valuation Analysis Amid Index Rebalance Expectations

Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)