Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-slide-works-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7130:1" rel="noopener">King Slide Works (2059 TT)</a>'s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-slide-works-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7130:1" rel="noopener">King Slide Works (2059 TT)</a> has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.</li>
<li>There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.</li>
</ul>



King Slide Works (2059 TT)'s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.

King Slide Works (2059 TT) has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.
There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.


King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated holding was USD1,155.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD659mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial, MediaTek, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated holding was USD1,155.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD659mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial, MediaTek, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 1st): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is planning to scale back its presence in the gallium nitride (GaN) market to focus on high-growth areas.</li>
<li>To meet customer demand, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> has recently been reallocating resources away from mature process nodes.</li>
<li>We estimate that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/navitas-semiconductor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36294:1" rel="noopener">Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS US)</a> alone consumes over half of TSMC’s GaN capacity each month, making it TSMC’s largest GaN customer.</li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is planning to scale back its presence in the gallium nitride (GaN) market to focus on high-growth areas.
To meet customer demand, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) has recently been reallocating resources away from mature process nodes.
We estimate that Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS US) alone consumes over half of TSMC’s GaN capacity each month, making it TSMC’s largest GaN customer.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Halts GaN Production at Fab 5, Shifting to Advanced Packaging.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

Taiwan

Lite-On Technology Corp. manufactures and markets a wide range of computer components and Peripheral equipment. The Company's products include computers, digital home products, consumer electronics, communications products, key components and sub-systems, and optoelectronic components. Power Supplies, Enclosures, and LEDs business are the core of Lite-On Technology's business.

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Lite On Technology (2301 TT)

King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

King Slide Works could be added to a global index in August. Shorts have been covering and the positioning appears to be smaller than the estimated...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 1st): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Taishin Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Quanta Computer (2382 TT), Hon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Halts GaN Production at Fab 5, Shifting to Advanced Packaging.

TSMC is shifting focus away from the gallium nitride market to prioritize high-growth areas, reallocating resources to meet customer demand....

Patrick Liao

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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