IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding proposal from Wildcat Resources for Austal USA at an enterprise value of US$1.25 to US$1.35 billion.</li>
<li>The Wildcat offer’s midpoint of US$1.30 billion is at a 15% premium to Hanwha's offer’s midpoint of US$1.125 billion. Wildcat is requesting four weeks of due diligence.</li>
<li>Hanwha is likely to return with a revised offer as the Wildcat offer values Austal USA at a discount to its closest peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huntington-ingalls-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3136:1" rel="noopener">Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII US)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Austal Ltd (ASB AU) disclosed a non-binding proposal from Wildcat Resources for Austal USA at an enterprise value of US$1.25 to US$1.35 billion.
The Wildcat offer’s midpoint of US$1.30 billion is at a 15% premium to Hanwha's offer’s midpoint of US$1.125 billion. Wildcat is requesting four weeks of due diligence.
Hanwha is likely to return with a revised offer as the Wildcat offer values Austal USA at a discount to its closest peer, Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII US). 


Austal (ASB AU): Wildcat Lobs a Competing Offer for Austal USA

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<ul><li>With the upcoming first quarter earnings season taking center stage the next 3 weeks, there is yet again a well overdue reprieve from the back and forth focus on hiking, pausing, and cutting next steps of the Federal Reserve.</li><li>The focus now goes back to company earnings and forward guidance and whether slowdowns picked up on ISM, PMI, and regional Fed surveys are now making its way through earnings reports.</li><li>While still early, the first 22 S&amp;P 500 Index companies reveal a 20% drop in earnings QoQ.</li></ul>

With the upcoming first quarter earnings season taking center stage the next 3 weeks, there is yet again a well overdue reprieve from the back and forth focus on hiking, pausing, and cutting next steps of the Federal Reserve.The focus now goes back to company earnings and forward guidance and whether slowdowns picked up on ISM, PMI, and regional Fed surveys are now making its way through earnings reports.While still early, the first 22 S&amp;P 500 Index companies reveal a 20% drop in earnings QoQ.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a> for Austal USA at an EV of US$1.05-1.20 billion, 1.1x to 1.2x of the Group’s pre-bid EV.</li>
<li>Alongside the NBIO disclosure, Austal has provided a trading update noting significant non-cash provisions at Austal USA, resulting in an expected FY26 EBIT loss of A$175 million.</li>
<li>Hanwha’s offer is attractive, and securing US approvals should not be an issue. Austal’s valuation remains compelling, with my SoTP valuation of A$5.95, a 32% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Austal Ltd (ASB AU) disclosed a non-binding proposal from Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) for Austal USA at an EV of US$1.05-1.20 billion, 1.1x to 1.2x of the Group’s pre-bid EV.
Alongside the NBIO disclosure, Austal has provided a trading update noting significant non-cash provisions at Austal USA, resulting in an expected FY26 EBIT loss of A$175 million.
Hanwha’s offer is attractive, and securing US approvals should not be an issue. Austal’s valuation remains compelling, with my SoTP valuation of A$5.95, a 32% premium to the last close.


Austal (ASB AU): Hanwha Ocean’s Compelling Offer for the US Business

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<ul><li>SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process is continuously evolving.</li><li>Despite the market downturn our cumulative redemptions are a mere basis points of the fund.</li><li>We are more concerned with the ‘two birds in the bush’ so to speak; and then extending the adage further: what is the price implying to catch these plump birds.</li><li>With a more concentrated portfolio of businesses, portfolio volatility can be higher, but volatility can be compensated with higher returns.</li><li>We have no conviction about the direction of the market - we don’t believe one can consistently predict this with high accuracy.</li></ul>

SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process is continuously evolving.Despite the market downturn our cumulative redemptions are a mere basis points of the fund.We are more concerned with the ‘two birds in the bush’ so to speak; and then extending the adage further: what is the price implying to catch these plump birds.With a more concentrated portfolio of businesses, portfolio volatility can be higher, but volatility can be compensated with higher returns.We have no conviction about the direction of the market - we don’t believe one can consistently predict this with high accuracy.

SaltLight Capital Management Q3 2022 Co-Investor Letter

<ul><li>We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).</li><li>Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.</li><li>As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.</li></ul>

We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.

Vltava Fund Q3 2022 Letter To Shareholders

United States

Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global security company that primarily researches, designs, develops, manufactures, and integrates advanced technology products and services.  The Company's businesses span space, telecommunications, electronics, information and services, aeronautics, energy, and systems integration.  Lockheed Martin operates worldwide.

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Lockheed Martin (LMT US)

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Arun George

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Hanwha’s offer is attractive, and securing US approvals should not be an issue. Austal’s valuation remains compelling, with my SoTP valuation of...

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SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process...

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