Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in NAVER, LG Electronics, HMM, LG Display, HYBE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in NAVER, LG Electronics, HMM, LG Display, HYBE.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 19th): NAVER, LG Electronics, HMM, LG Display, HYBE

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lotte Global Logistics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-global-logistics-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45000:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS)</a> aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.


Lotte Global Logistics IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-global-logistics-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45000:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS)</a> aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO - Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Lotte Non Life Insurance Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.</li>
<li>With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.</li>
<li>Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.</li>
</ul>


There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.
With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.
Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.


Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

South Korea

Lotte Non-Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services, such as auto, fire, marine, long-term casualty and property, pension, and retirement insurance products. The Company also operates a foreign reinsurance business.

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Lotte Non Life Insurance Co (000400 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 19th): NAVER, LG Electronics, HMM, LG Display, HYBE

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in NAVER, LG Electronics, HMM, LG Display, HYBE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

Lotte Global Logistics IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Lotte Global Logistics aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we talk about...

Akshat Shah

Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO - Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates

Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.

Akshat Shah

Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

This post examines the persistent issue of insider trading in the Korean tender offer market and discusses how we should time positions for short...

Sanghyun Park

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