Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. </li>
<li>Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. </li>
<li>Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
</ul>


Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. 
Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. 
Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.


<ul>
<li>Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. </li>
<li>The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
<li>The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. 
The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.
The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.


SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Last week, Vietnamese Electric Vehicle maker Vinfast announced plans to go through a colossal $27 billion SPAC merger with Spade Acquisition Corp, putting it firmly amongst the likes of EV upstarts Lucid Motors and Polestar Electric.</li><li>Luxury EV maker Lucid debuted through a $24 billion deal in 2021, while Swedish EV maker Polestar previously went public in 2022 through a $20 billion merger.</li><li>However, while both deals were characterized by initial excitement, the enthusiasm has given way to the sobering realities of the growing pains of being an EV upstart.</li></ul>

Last week, Vietnamese Electric Vehicle maker Vinfast announced plans to go through a colossal $27 billion SPAC merger with Spade Acquisition Corp, putting it firmly amongst the likes of EV upstarts Lucid Motors and Polestar Electric.Luxury EV maker Lucid debuted through a $24 billion deal in 2021, while Swedish EV maker Polestar previously went public in 2022 through a $20 billion merger.However, while both deals were characterized by initial excitement, the enthusiasm has given way to the sobering realities of the growing pains of being an EV upstart.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a>, a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, has filed for a US$1.0 billion IPO to list on Nasdaq.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vinfast-auto-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85901" rel="noopener">VinFast Auto IPO: The Bull Case</a>,</strong></em> we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and liability exposure to ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>



VinFast (1905332D VN), a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), has filed for a US$1.0 billion IPO to list on Nasdaq.
In VinFast Auto IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and liability exposure to ICE vehicles.


Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.</li>
<li>Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) priced its H Share at HK$48.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6,057.4 million (US$772 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
The H Shares of peers posted no first-day gains and are currently below the listing prices. Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus.
Leapmotor, at best, should trade in line with median peer multiples. Leapmotor is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue to remain on the sidelines.


United States

Lucid Group Inc. operates as an automotive company. The Company manufactures luxury electric cars, as well as provides energy storage and original equipment solutions. Lucid Group serves customers in the United States and Canada.

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Lucid Group (LCID US)

Almac IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Preview

Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles.

Douglas Kim

On The Fast Track

Last week, Vietnamese Electric Vehicle maker Vinfast announced plans to go through a colossal $27 billion SPAC merger with Spade Acquisition Corp

subSPAC

VinFast Auto IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and...

Arun George

Leapmotor IPO: Trading Debut

Market sentiment on peers has remained weak since the release of the prospectus. Leapmotor, at best, is fairly valued at the IPO price. We continue...

Arun George

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