Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)</a> reports 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24. However, gross margin improved significantly backed by lower raw material cost and lower intensity of price erosion in U.S.</li>
<li>For FY25, the company has guided for 10% YoY revenue growth, which is at par with the last five year’s average growth.</li>
<li>Alkem expects to maintain FY25 gross margin and EBITDA margin at the current level. As API prices have become mostly stable, there is limited room for further margin expansion.</li>
</ul>



Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN) reports 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24. However, gross margin improved significantly backed by lower raw material cost and lower intensity of price erosion in U.S.
For FY25, the company has guided for 10% YoY revenue growth, which is at par with the last five year’s average growth.
Alkem expects to maintain FY25 gross margin and EBITDA margin at the current level. As API prices have become mostly stable, there is limited room for further margin expansion.


Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).</li>
<li>Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.</li>
</ul>


There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).
Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

<ul>
<li>In Q4FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.</li>
<li>New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.</li>
<li>Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.</li>
</ul>


In Q4FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.
New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.
Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.


Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indegene-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36629:1" rel="noopener">Indegene Limited (1864095D IN)</a> raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.</li>
<li>We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.


Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported 13% revenue growth to INR71.1B in Q4FY24. EBITDA climbed 15% to INR18.7B, while net profit zoomed 36% to INR13.1B.</li>
<li>North America revenue grew 29% YoY to INR32.6B, driven by increase in volumes of base business, contribution from new launches, integration of Mayne portfolio, partly offset by price erosion.</li>
<li>After adjusting for brand divestment, revenue from India increased 11% YoY. Gross margin improved 140bps YoY and 10bps QoQ to 58.6%, due to better product mix and cost savings.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 13% revenue growth to INR71.1B in Q4FY24. EBITDA climbed 15% to INR18.7B, while net profit zoomed 36% to INR13.1B.
North America revenue grew 29% YoY to INR32.6B, driven by increase in volumes of base business, contribution from new launches, integration of Mayne portfolio, partly offset by price erosion.
After adjusting for brand divestment, revenue from India increased 11% YoY. Gross margin improved 140bps YoY and 10bps QoQ to 58.6%, due to better product mix and cost savings.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q4 Result- Sequentially Weak Quarter; Time to Book Profit

India

Lupin is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets a diverse range of branded and generic formulations, biotechnology products, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company specializes in therapeutic areas such as cardiovascular, anti-diabetic, respiratory, anti-infective, and women's health. Lupin Limited was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Lupin (LPC IN)

Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we will...

Clarence Chu

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q4 Result- Sequentially Weak Quarter; Time to Book Profit

Dr. Reddy's reported double-digit revenue and profit growth in Q4FY24, mainly driven by North America. Going ahead, growth will be slower on high...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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P/E

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Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

​Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

​Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we will...

Clarence Chu

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q4 Result- Sequentially Weak Quarter; Time to Book Profit

​Dr. Reddy's reported double-digit revenue and profit growth in Q4FY24, mainly driven by North America. Going ahead, growth will be slower on high...

Tina Banerjee

Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Dr. Reddy's reported double-digit revenue and profit growth in Q4FY24, mainly driven by North America. Going ahead, growth will be slower on high...