Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Torrent Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/torrent-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15762:1" rel="noopener">Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)</a> reported a 11% YoY increase in net profit to INR5B on an 8% YoY growth in revenue to INR28B in Q4FY25. Domestic business drove overall performance.</li>
<li>Revenue from domestic market increased 12% YoY to INR15.5B, led by outperformance in focus therapies, aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent continued to outperform IPM.</li>
<li>The company is expanding margins by 75–100bps historically. With improving traction in U.S., double-digit growth in Brazil, and continued strong performance in India, the trend is expected to continue.</li>
</ul>



Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN) reported a 11% YoY increase in net profit to INR5B on an 8% YoY growth in revenue to INR28B in Q4FY25. Domestic business drove overall performance.
Revenue from domestic market increased 12% YoY to INR15.5B, led by outperformance in focus therapies, aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent continued to outperform IPM.
The company is expanding margins by 75–100bps historically. With improving traction in U.S., double-digit growth in Brazil, and continued strong performance in India, the trend is expected to continue.


Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): India Business Drives 11% PAT Growth in Q4; Margin Levers at Work

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine launches Hong Kong IPO to raise ~$1.3B. Wuxi Biologics is selling its drug product plant in Germany to Terumo for €150M.</li>
<li>Chugai Pharmaceutical got conditional approval in Japan for gene therapy product, Elevidys for Duchenne muscular dystrophy. GC Biopharma dosed first patient in Fabry disease drug trial in Korea.</li>
<li>Mayne Pharma was hit hard as an ‘untitled letter’ from the FDA related to certain promotional claims used in a speaker presentation for oral contraceptive Nextstellis, was made public.  </li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine launches Hong Kong IPO to raise ~$1.3B. Wuxi Biologics is selling its drug product plant in Germany to Terumo for €150M.
Chugai Pharmaceutical got conditional approval in Japan for gene therapy product, Elevidys for Duchenne muscular dystrophy. GC Biopharma dosed first patient in Fabry disease drug trial in Korea.
Mayne Pharma was hit hard as an ‘untitled letter’ from the FDA related to certain promotional claims used in a speaker presentation for oral contraceptive Nextstellis, was made public.  


APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 18)-Hengrui Medicine, Wuxi Biologics, Chugai, GC Biopharma, Mayne Pharma

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

India

Lupin Limited manufactures bulk actives and formulations. The principal bulk actives manufactured by it include Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (anti-TB), Cephalosporins (anti-infectives) and cardiovasculars. The company also possesses competencies in phytomedicines, in which medicines are made out of plant and herbal resources supported by the discipline of modern medicine.

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Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

There are 20 changes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): India Business Drives 11% PAT Growth in Q4; Margin Levers at Work

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported strong Q4FY25 results with an 11% YoY increase in net profit and 8% YoY revenue growth driven by domestic...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 18)-Hengrui Medicine, Wuxi Biologics, Chugai, GC Biopharma, Mayne Pharma

Jiangsu Hengrui launches HK IPO. Wuxi Biologics to sell Germany plant. Chugai got Japan approval for gene therapy. Mayne Pharma was hit as FDA...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

There are 20 changes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): India Business Drives 11% PAT Growth in Q4; Margin Levers at Work

​Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported strong Q4FY25 results with an 11% YoY increase in net profit and 8% YoY revenue growth driven by domestic...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 18)-Hengrui Medicine, Wuxi Biologics, Chugai, GC Biopharma, Mayne Pharma

Jiangsu Hengrui launches HK IPO. Wuxi Biologics to sell Germany plant. Chugai got Japan approval for gene therapy. Mayne Pharma was hit as FDA...

Tina Banerjee

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported strong Q4FY25 results with an 11% YoY increase in net profit and 8% YoY revenue growth driven by domestic...