Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).</li>
<li>Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.</li>
</ul>


There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).
Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q4FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.</li>
<li>New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.</li>
<li>Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.</li>
</ul>


In Q4FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 10% YoY revenue growth to INR61.6B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to INR13B, leading to 54bps margin expansion to 21.4%.
New launches in U.S. and outperformance in the domestic market driven by chronic portfolio should drive the growth. For FY25, the company has guided for EBITDA margin of 24.5–25.5%.
Cipla shares soared 15% YTD. Last week, the promoters, Hamied family sold 2.5% stake in the company for ~INR26B, igniting a rally in share price.


Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Motilal Oswal's research report onLupin Lupin (LPC) delivered in-line operational performance in 4QFY24. LPC ended FY24 on a strong note, with INR198b in sales (up 19% YoY), EBITDA margin of 18% (up 750bp YoY) and PAT of INR19b (vs. INR4b YoY).</li><li>LPC continues to implement efforts toward building a complex product pipeline in inhalation, injectables and ophthalmic.</li><li>We raise our earnings estimates by 6% each for FY25/FY26, factoring in a) limited competition product launches in the US generics segment, b) industry outperformance in the DF segment, and c) a scale-up in the diagnostic business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Motilal Oswal's research report onLupin Lupin (LPC) delivered in-line operational performance in 4QFY24. LPC ended FY24 on a strong note, with INR198b in sales (up 19% YoY), EBITDA margin of 18% (up 750bp YoY) and PAT of INR19b (vs. INR4b YoY).LPC continues to implement efforts toward building a complex product pipeline in inhalation, injectables and ophthalmic.We raise our earnings estimates by 6% each for FY25/FY26, factoring in a) limited competition product launches in the US generics segment, b) industry outperformance in the DF segment, and c) a scale-up in the diagnostic business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lupin - Niche Product Drives Earnings Growth

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indegene-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36629:1" rel="noopener">Indegene Limited (1864095D IN)</a> raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.</li>
<li>We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.


Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onLupin We revise our FY25/26E EPS estimates by 2.1%/4.3%, as we factor in higher margins.</li><li>Lupin’s (LPC) Q4FY24 EBITDA of Rs10bn (up 65% YoY; flat QoQ) was in line with our estimate aided by higher gross margin.</li><li>Margins are likely to remain heathy with better product mix in US.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onLupin We revise our FY25/26E EPS estimates by 2.1%/4.3%, as we factor in higher margins.Lupin’s (LPC) Q4FY24 EBITDA of Rs10bn (up 65% YoY; flat QoQ) was in line with our estimate aided by higher gross margin.Margins are likely to remain heathy with better product mix in US.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Lupin Limited manufactures bulk actives and formulations. The principal bulk actives manufactured by it include Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (anti-TB), Cephalosporins (anti-infectives) and cardiovasculars. The company also possesses competencies in phytomedicines, in which medicines are made out of plant and herbal resources supported by the discipline of modern medicine.

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Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Lupin - Niche Product Drives Earnings Growth

Motilal Oswal's research report onLupin Lupin (LPC) delivered in-line operational performance in 4QFY24. LPC ended FY24 on a strong note, with...

Motilal Oswal

Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we will...

Clarence Chu

Lupin (LPC IN) - Margins to Sustain

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onLupin We revise our FY25/26E EPS estimates by 2.1%/4.3%, as we factor in higher margins.

Prabhudas Lilladhar

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Strong Q4 Performance; Future Growth Drivers Being Added; Promoter Stake Sale

​Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...

Tina Banerjee

Lupin - Niche Product Drives Earnings Growth

Motilal Oswal's research report onLupin Lupin (LPC) delivered in-line operational performance in 4QFY24. LPC ended FY24 on a strong note, with...

Motilal Oswal

Indegene IPO Trading - High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this note, we will...

Clarence Chu

Lupin (LPC IN) - Margins to Sustain

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onLupin We revise our FY25/26E EPS estimates by 2.1%/4.3%, as we factor in higher margins.

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Cipla reports double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, and margin expansion in Q4, riding on US, India, and South Africa businesses. For FY25, the...