IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>, the largest Asian integrated logistics service provider, has filed for an H Share listing to raise US$2-3 billion, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>SF is the largest integrated logistics service player in China and Asia, and the fourth largest player globally, in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the investment case rest on the primary business’ improving fundamentals, margin trajectory, cash generation, modest leverage and undemanding PEG multiples.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH), the largest Asian integrated logistics service provider, has filed for an H Share listing to raise US$2-3 billion, according to press reports.   
SF is the largest integrated logistics service player in China and Asia, and the fourth largest player globally, in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the investment case rest on the primary business’ improving fundamentals, margin trajectory, cash generation, modest leverage and undemanding PEG multiples.


S.F. Holding H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese express parcel volume growth was 11.7% in July, far slower than in Feb-May</li>
<li>July ASP for all segments fell to 8.84 Yuan per piece, the lowest in at least ten years</li>
<li>Industry leader SF Holding partly insulated from margin pressure by air, international </li>
</ul>


Chinese express parcel volume growth was 11.7% in July, far slower than in Feb-May
July ASP for all segments fell to 8.84 Yuan per piece, the lowest in at least ten years
Industry leader SF Holding partly insulated from margin pressure by air, international 


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Growth Slows | Pricing Hits Record Low | (August 2023)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, aims to raise around US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH) (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, aims to raise around US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


SF Holdings A/H Listing - Early Look - Front Running

<ul>
<li>SF Holding differs from its Chinese peers in several important ways, including business scale, its lack of a formal relationship with Alibaba, and its many non-express lines of business</li>
<li>SF also differs from the pre-Covid version of itself: it's far larger than it was in 2019, but core margins have declined, and internatonal exposure has risen dramatically</li>
<li>In this insight we also take a look at current EV/Revenue valuations vs peers and list important milestones to watch for ahead of the company's planned HK IPO</li>
</ul>


SF Holding differs from its Chinese peers in several important ways, including business scale, its lack of a formal relationship with Alibaba, and its many non-express lines of business
SF also differs from the pre-Covid version of itself: it's far larger than it was in 2019, but core margins have declined, and internatonal exposure has risen dramatically
In this insight we also take a look at current EV/Revenue valuations vs peers and list important milestones to watch for ahead of the company's planned HK IPO


A Look at How SF Holding Differs from A) Its Express Peers and B) The Pre-Covid Version of Itself

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hydro-lithium-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8293:1" rel="noopener">Hydro Lithium (101670 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nice-information-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20236:1" rel="noopener">Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.

Hydro Lithium (101670 KS) will replace Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the close on Monday.
There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Growth Slows | Pricing Hits Record Low | (August 2023)

Chinese parcel volume growth remained weak in July, and pricing fell to a new all-time low. But we believe SF Holding's unique revenue mix could...

Tracking Traffic

SF Holdings A/H Listing - Early Look - Front Running

The company has just filed its application prood for an H-share listing. As per media reports, it could look to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

A Look at How SF Holding Differs from A) Its Express Peers and B) The Pre-Covid Version of Itself

In this insight we compare today's SF Holding to its Chinese peers and to the pre-Covid version of itself. We also look at EV/Sales valuations and...

Tracking Traffic

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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S.F. Holding H Share Listing: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on the primary business’ improving fundamentals, margin trajectory, cash generation, modest leverage...

Arun George

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Growth Slows | Pricing Hits Record Low | (August 2023)

Chinese parcel volume growth remained weak in July, and pricing fell to a new all-time low. But we believe SF Holding's unique revenue mix could...

Tracking Traffic

SF Holdings A/H Listing - Early Look - Front Running

The company has just filed its application prood for an H-share listing. As per media reports, it could look to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

A Look at How SF Holding Differs from A) Its Express Peers and B) The Pre-Covid Version of Itself

In this insight we compare today's SF Holding to its Chinese peers and to the pre-Covid version of itself. We also look at EV/Sales valuations and...

Tracking Traffic

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas