Poultry: Heading into Year-End with Improving Supply–Demand Dynamics (OVERWEIGHT)
We estimate robust earnings momentum in 3Q25 led by higher livebird and DOC prices, which offset the higher feed costs.We expect 4Q25 prices to...
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Poultry: There Is Such a Thing as a Free Lunch (OVERWEIGHT)
We expect additional 3-5% chicken absorption from MBG in Sep25 to support for LB prices. We foresee margin expansion in 3Q25 to be led by higher LB...
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Poultry: No Sorrow in Suro This Year (OVERWEIGHT)
2025’s Suro month defies its historical seasonally lower LB prices, owing to the better supply-demand balance and HAP implementation.
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Poultry: Near-Term Pressures, Recovery Potential in 2H25 (OVERWEIGHT)
Livebird prices recently improved to Rp18.6k/kg, but we expect softer prices in July amid the seasonally low demand in Suro month.
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Poultry: Near-Term Supply Adjustments to Stabilize Prices, but Implementation Might Be Arduous
Mild realization in supply adjustment due to the lack of clarity and monitoring. Impact on LB will be felt at the end of May25, at the earliest.
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