Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For the better part of two decades, Singaporean real estate investment trusts (REITs) have provided an efficient and popular exposure to quality large-scale commercial properties. </li>
<li>Yet as global central banks hike interest rates to address inflationary pressures, can REITs retain their attractiveness?</li>
<li>SREITs have corrected as Singaporean interest rates have increased. The question is whether higher interest rates are baked in, and which SREITs will hold up; and which ones will not?</li>
</ul>


For the better part of two decades, Singaporean real estate investment trusts (REITs) have provided an efficient and popular exposure to quality large-scale commercial properties. 
Yet as global central banks hike interest rates to address inflationary pressures, can REITs retain their attractiveness?
SREITs have corrected as Singaporean interest rates have increased. The question is whether higher interest rates are baked in, and which SREITs will hold up; and which ones will not?


S-REITs: Investing In An Inflationary Environment

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore, Syfe

Syfe

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore

Syfe is an investment platform offering Managed Portfolios, Brokerage services, and Cash Management solutions to help people build wealth for a better future.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  </li><li>Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.</li><li>The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.</li></ul>

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45414:1" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has raised US$773 million at the offer price of US$1.00 per unit.   </li>
<li>I discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ntt-dc-reit-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192362" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ntt-dc-reit-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192548" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since 2020. The IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields.</li>
</ul>



NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has raised US$773 million at the offer price of US$1.00 per unit.   
I discussed the listing in NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case and NTT DC REIT IPO: Valuation Insights. 
NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since 2020. The IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45414:1" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has launched an SGX IPO to raise proceeds up to US$864 million.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ntt-dc-reit-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192362" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I discuss valuation. The valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields. </li>
</ul>



NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has launched an SGX IPO to raise proceeds up to US$864 million.
I previously discussed the listing in NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I discuss valuation. The valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields. 


Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quarz Capital’s <a href="https://www.bettermnact.com/_files/ugd/517105_02ef42e240d344b9a13b20fce5b8c5d1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">open letter</a> urges <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>.</li>
<li>MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   </li>
<li>MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   </li>
</ul>


Quarz Capital’s open letter urges Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP).
MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   
MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   


MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

Singapore

Manulife US REIT is a Singapore listed REIT established with the investment strategy principally to invest, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing office real estate in key markets in the United States, as well as real estate-related assets.

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Manulife US REIT (MUST) (MUST SP)

S-REITs: Investing In An Inflationary Environment

Suntec, with one of the highest gearings in the office subsector, may need to go to the market cap in hand. That or divest some assets - in what is...

David Blennerhassett

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed. According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median...

Syfe

NTT DC REIT IPO: Trading Debut

NTT DC REIT will list on Monday, July 14. NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since...

Arun George

NTT DC REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

NTT DC REIT has launched an SGX IPO to raise proceeds up to US$864 million. My valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.

Arun George

MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.

Arun George

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