Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/237/882/original/image_38758426221635344719889.png?1635344723" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="237882"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +39.3% YoY; Resilient occupancy and tenants’ sales amidst Phase-2 temporary setbacks</h3>2H21 revenue and NPI surged by 159.9% and 213.2% YoY, respectively, to S$167.5m and S$120.9m, mainly boosted by ARF acquisition. This brought FY21 revenue and NPI to S$341.2m (+107.5% YoY) and S$246.6m (+122.4%) or 96%/98% of BBG estimates, respectively. On a HoH basis, 2H21 revenue and NPI fell 3.5% and 3.8%, respectively, due to rental rebates provided to tenants in Sep21

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) 2H21 DPU +39.3% YoY; Resilient occupancy and tenants’ sales amidst Phase-2 temporary setbacks2H21 revenue and NPI surged by 159.9% and 213.2% YoY, respectively, to S$167.5m and S$120.9m, mainly boosted by ARF acquisition. This brought FY21 revenue and NPI to S$341.2m (+107.5% YoY) and S$246.6m (+122.4%) or 96%/98% of BBG estimates, respectively. On a HoH basis, 2H21 revenue and NPI fell 3.5% and 3.8%, respectively, due to rental rebates provided to tenants in Sep21

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;"> </td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">FLT</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">ARAUS (US$)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 15px;">Period</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 15px;">3Q21</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 15px;">2Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 15px;">Gross Revenue (S$m)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 15px;">NA</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 15px;">33.3 (+69.9% QoQ)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">NPI (S$m)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">NA</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">8.7 (+2,075% QoQ)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">NA</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">Based on last qtr: 1.14</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">0.61</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">1.33</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">0.87</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">96.3</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">51.2 (Overall)55.8 (Hyatt Place)64.7 (Hyatt House)68 (AC Hotels)75.7 (Courtyard by Marriott)95 (Residence Inn)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 7px;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 7px;">0.8</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 7px;">RevPAR (% QoQ):66.7 (Overall Portfolio)70.6 (Hyatt Place)68.3 (Hyatt House)77.4 (AC Hotels)55.4 (Courtyard by Marriott)46.2 (Residence Inn)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">36.4</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">49</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">1.7</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">3.4</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">5.07</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">4.67</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">69.4</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">76.7</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 14px;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 14px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 14px;">N/A</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 242.047px; height: 15px;">Rating</td><td style="width: 241.969px; height: 15px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 241.984px; height: 15px;">N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) FLTARAUS (US$)Period3Q212Q21Gross Revenue (S$m)NA33.3 (+69.9% QoQ)NPI (S$m)NA8.7 (+2,075% QoQ)DPU (S$ c)NANANAV per Unit (S$)Based on last qtr: 1.140.61P/B (x)1.330.87Occupancy (%)96.351.2 (Overall)55.8 (Hyatt Place)64.7 (Hyatt House)68 (AC Hotels)75.7 (Courtyard by Marriott)95 (Residence Inn)Reversion (%)0.8RevPAR (% QoQ):66.7 (Overall Portfolio)70.6 (Hyatt Place)68.3 (Hyatt House)77.4 (AC Hotels)55.4 (Courtyard by Marriott)46.2 (Residence Inn)Gearing (%)36.449Cost of Debt (%)1.73.41 Yr Fwd Yield (%)5.074.67Debt Hedged (%)69.476.7Target PriceN/AN/ARatingN/AN/A

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (05Aug21) - FLT Acq-Driven Growth

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascott-residence-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560" rel="noopener">Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)</a> and The Ascott Limited to jointly develop student accommodation property in the US</h3><ul><li>The Ascott Limited and its hospitality trust, ART, will jointly invest and develop a freehold student accommodation asset located in South Carolina, USA for an expected total amount of US$109.9m (S$146.2m). The 678-bed student accommodation will serve over 35,000 undergraduate and graduate students from the nearby University of South Carolina (USC). Construction of the student accommodation asset is scheduled to start in 3Q21 and complete in 2Q23. At the initial stage, Ascott and ART will jointly invest in the asset to own 45% stake each. A third-party partner, which is a joint venture between one of the largest student housing developers in the USA and a large national real estate developer and contractor based in the USA, will own the remaining 10% stake for alignment of interest</li><li>When the property’s performance stabilises, Ascott and ART will acquire the remaining share from the third-party partner. Ascott has separately formed a partnership with the student housing developer to invest and develop more student accommodation properties in the USA. These properties could become a potential pipeline for ART from its sponsor. The accretive investment in this maiden asset in South Carolina, is expected to increase ART’s pro forma FY20 DPS by about 2.1%. Upon stabilisation, the EBITDA yield is expected to be approximately 6.2%. Gearing will rise to 37.1% post-completion of the development. <section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/213/297/original/image003+%282%29.png?1623806610" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="213297"></figure></section></li></ul>

SingaporeAscott Residence Trust (ART SP) and The Ascott Limited to jointly develop student accommodation property in the USThe Ascott Limited and its hospitality trust, ART, will jointly invest and develop a freehold student accommodation asset located in South Carolina, USA for an expected total amount of US$109.9m (S$146.2m). The 678-bed student accommodation will serve over 35,000 undergraduate and graduate students from the nearby University of South Carolina (USC). Construction of the student accommodation asset is scheduled to start in 3Q21 and complete in 2Q23. At the initial stage, Ascott and ART will jointly invest in the asset to own 45% stake each. A third-party partner, which is a joint venture between one of the largest student housing developers in the USA and a large national real estate developer and contractor based in the USA, will own the remaining 10% stake for alignment of interestWhen the property’s performance stabilises, Ascott and ART will acquire the remaining share from the third-party partner. Ascott has separately formed a partnership with the student housing developer to invest and develop more student accommodation properties in the USA. These properties could become a potential pipeline for ART from its sponsor. The accretive investment in this maiden asset in South Carolina, is expected to increase ART’s pro forma FY20 DPS by about 2.1%. Upon stabilisation, the EBITDA yield is expected to be approximately 6.2%. Gearing will rise to 37.1% post-completion of the development. 

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Jun21) - ART to Jointly Develop US Student Accommodation

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-logistics-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22748" rel="noopener">Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP)</a> to acquire six freehold properties in Germany, The Netherlands and The UK; Accretive by +1.8% to DPU</h3><ul><li>FLT has proposed an acquisition of interests in three freehold logistics and industrial properties located in Germany and a logistics and industrial property in the Netherlands, from subsidiaries of Frasers Property Limited (FPL SP); and two freehold properties, known as Connexion and Blythe Valley Park, located in the UK from subsidiaries of I.M. Properties. The acquisitions are positioned to capitalise on strong logistics industry tailwinds in The UK and Germany – the two largest e-commerce markets in Europe and among top 10 globally</li><li>The agreed property purchase price for the acquisition is approximately S$548.7m, representing a discount of ~2.5% to the aggregate appraised value of S$562.4m. The aggregate purchase consideration for the acquisition, excluding acquisition fee and other transaction costs is ~S$469.7m</li><li>As at 31Mar21, the acquisitions have a blended occupancy rate of 97.4% with a long WALB of 7.6 years, with tenants that include established third-party logistics companies and corporates, such as Hermes Germany GmbH, Gymshark Limited, Lounge Underwear Limited and BASF SE. All of the New EU Properties are 100% occupied with leases that have built-in consumer price indexation</li><li>With the acquisitions being freehold, the proportion of freehold assets in FLT’s portfolio will increase in proportion from 65.1% to 67.9% upon completion. Portfolio’s WALB will also extend from 4.4 years to 4.7 years</li><li>The estimated NPI yield is ~5%. On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be both DPU and NAVPU accretive, at +1.8% and +0.9%, respectively. Funding for the acquisitions will be via a combination of proceeds from the equity fund raising (54.6%) and borrowings (remaining 45.4%). Post-acquisition, gearing would increase from 35.5% to 36.2% on pro-forma basis. The proposed acquisition is expected to be completed by Jun21.</li></ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0?ui=2&amp;ik=03e35791bb&amp;attid=0.0.3&amp;permmsgid=msg-f:1700600348485070213&amp;th=1799bf01bc5bad85&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8xCEqA5_st0uV0EWFnw6XJqjbimQjVryOhbTImWN4xc62NjD9zqImfTW_0CazjDP53F1403yFCvywywt4e0OVlILLThfxaZmQCMoZ5GSG0nL1XYwY11V2LtGY&amp;disp=emb" width="695" height="336" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-image-whitelisted=""></figure>

SingaporeFrasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) to acquire six freehold properties in Germany, The Netherlands and The UK; Accretive by +1.8% to DPUFLT has proposed an acquisition of interests in three freehold logistics and industrial properties located in Germany and a logistics and industrial property in the Netherlands, from subsidiaries of Frasers Property Limited (FPL SP); and two freehold properties, known as Connexion and Blythe Valley Park, located in the UK from subsidiaries of I.M. Properties. The acquisitions are positioned to capitalise on strong logistics industry tailwinds in The UK and Germany – the two largest e-commerce markets in Europe and among top 10 globallyThe agreed property purchase price for the acquisition is approximately S$548.7m, representing a discount of ~2.5% to the aggregate appraised value of S$562.4m. The aggregate purchase consideration for the acquisition, excluding acquisition fee and other transaction costs is ~S$469.7mAs at 31Mar21, the acquisitions have a blended occupancy rate of 97.4% with a long WALB of 7.6 years, with tenants that include established third-party logistics companies and corporates, such as Hermes Germany GmbH, Gymshark Limited, Lounge Underwear Limited and BASF SE. All of the New EU Properties are 100% occupied with leases that have built-in consumer price indexationWith the acquisitions being freehold, the proportion of freehold assets in FLT’s portfolio will increase in proportion from 65.1% to 67.9% upon completion. Portfolio’s WALB will also extend from 4.4 years to 4.7 yearsThe estimated NPI yield is ~5%. On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be both DPU and NAVPU accretive, at +1.8% and +0.9%, respectively. Funding for the acquisitions will be via a combination of proceeds from the equity fund raising (54.6%) and borrowings (remaining 45.4%). Post-acquisition, gearing would increase from 35.5% to 36.2% on pro-forma basis. The proposed acquisition is expected to be completed by Jun21.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24May21) - FLT expands further into Europe

Singapore

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust with a large and diversified portfolio of industrial properties. The Trust invests in a diverse portfolio of industrial properties with the primary objective of achieving an attractive level of return from rental income and for long-term capital growth.

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Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (27Oct21)

FCT temporary hiccups; EREIT persistent negative reversions; MINT boosted by US acquisitions; LMRT early signs of recovery; FIRT performance...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (05Aug21) - FLT Acq-Driven Growth

FLT acq-driven growth; ARAUS QoQ recovery on full speed; ESR/ARA - what's next?; MEG 2Q21 NI underperforms; SEC approves RLC, MEG REITs; Indo...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

AAREIT stable performance; CICT office outshines retail; KREIT cautiously optimistic; MINT acq-driven growth; KORE expands with 2 new US acq; CPG...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Jun21) - ART to Jointly Develop US Student Accommodation

ART to jointly develop US student accommodation; May21 new home sales down 30% MoM, take-up remains elevated; MEG board approves REIT listing;...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24May21) - FLT expands further into Europe

FLT expands further into Europe; SASSR appoints new CEO; Jem/Westgate to close for 2wks; RLC Chengdu project saves the day; Luxury penthouse demand...

SCCM Asia Research

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