IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> announced a privatisation proposal from Cuscaden Peak at S$1.0033 per unit (S$0.98 cash per unit and the 2H FY2024 distribution of S$0.0233 per unit).  </li>
<li>The offer price is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent privatisations.  It represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/4.6%. </li>
</ul>



Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) announced a privatisation proposal from Cuscaden Peak at S$1.0033 per unit (S$0.98 cash per unit and the 2H FY2024 distribution of S$0.0233 per unit).  
The offer price is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent privatisations.  It represents an all-time high. 
No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/4.6%. 


Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP): Cuscaden Peak’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX</li>
<li>Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.</li>
<li>In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months</li>
</ul>


Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Digital Core REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. 
The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Digital Core REIT Placement - Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.</li>
<li>Temasek still owns over 50% of SIA and hence, any selldown might not come before SIA reports its 1H23/24 results in mid-Nov 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the placement lockup dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.
Temasek still owns over 50% of SIA and hence, any selldown might not come before SIA reports its 1H23/24 results in mid-Nov 2023.
In this note, we talk about the placement lockup dynamics.


SIA Placement Lockup - Time for Another Trim of Its US$7bn Stake

Mapletree Industrial Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-industrial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP)</a> is looking to raise at least S$202m (US$150m) in its primary placement.</li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to partially fund its acquisition of a data centre asset in downtown Osaka, Japan, while the remainder will be funded by debt.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) is looking to raise at least S$202m (US$150m) in its primary placement.
The proceeds will be used to partially fund its acquisition of a data centre asset in downtown Osaka, Japan, while the remainder will be funded by debt.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Mapletree Industrial Trust Placement - Data Centre Exposure Still on the Rise

Singapore

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust. The Trust invests on a long-term basis, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes, whether wholly or partially, as well as real estate-related assets.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

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Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP): Cuscaden Peak’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

This is a done deal. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

Digital Core REIT Placement - Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential...

Ethan Aw

SIA Placement Lockup - Time for Another Trim of Its US$7bn Stake

Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Mapletree Industrial Trust Placement - Data Centre Exposure Still on the Rise

Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) is looking to raise at least S$202m (US$150m) in its primary placement. In this note, we'll run the deal...

Ethan Aw

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