Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Recently, a friend of mine asked me why I own positions in Markel and Brookfield, as they do not align with my typical investment style of small niche companies trading at attractive free cash flow yields. </li><li>I consider both companies as alternatives to index funds, benefiting from the expertise of two exceptional capital allocators, Tom Gayner and Bruce Flatt, at no additional cost.</li><li>Over time, if my investment process proves itself as sound, the positions in Markel and Brookfield should naturally decrease in size.</li></ul>

Recently, a friend of mine asked me why I own positions in Markel and Brookfield, as they do not align with my typical investment style of small niche companies trading at attractive free cash flow yields. I consider both companies as alternatives to index funds, benefiting from the expertise of two exceptional capital allocators, Tom Gayner and Bruce Flatt, at no additional cost.Over time, if my investment process proves itself as sound, the positions in Markel and Brookfield should naturally decrease in size.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I recently came across a thought-provoking blog post by Andrew Walker on his YAVB discussing the possibility of a bubble forming in quality stocks.</li><li>Although Andrew acknowledged that the title might be seen as provocative, he raised valid concerns about the potential challenges of achieving satisfactory returns in the future by investing in quality-growth-at-a-reasonable-price stocks, given their lofty valuations.</li><li>As an example, he pointed to Costco, which is presently trading at a P/E ratio of 50 despite its long-term expected growth rate only slightly surpassing that of the US GDP.</li></ul>

I recently came across a thought-provoking blog post by Andrew Walker on his YAVB discussing the possibility of a bubble forming in quality stocks.Although Andrew acknowledged that the title might be seen as provocative, he raised valid concerns about the potential challenges of achieving satisfactory returns in the future by investing in quality-growth-at-a-reasonable-price stocks, given their lofty valuations.As an example, he pointed to Costco, which is presently trading at a P/E ratio of 50 despite its long-term expected growth rate only slightly surpassing that of the US GDP.

<ul>
<li>I recently had a conversation with a close friend and fellow investor, during which he shared his current research interest in the dollar store concept.</li>
<li>He emphasized that this business model aligns with criteria conducive to long-term shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Given the scarce presence of dollar stores in Germany, primarily due to socioeconomic factors, I sought clarification on the underlying concept from him.</li>
</ul>


I recently had a conversation with a close friend and fellow investor, during which he shared his current research interest in the dollar store concept.
He emphasized that this business model aligns with criteria conducive to long-term shareholder returns.
Given the scarce presence of dollar stores in Germany, primarily due to socioeconomic factors, I sought clarification on the underlying concept from him.


Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

<ul><li>SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process is continuously evolving.</li><li>Despite the market downturn our cumulative redemptions are a mere basis points of the fund.</li><li>We are more concerned with the ‘two birds in the bush’ so to speak; and then extending the adage further: what is the price implying to catch these plump birds.</li><li>With a more concentrated portfolio of businesses, portfolio volatility can be higher, but volatility can be compensated with higher returns.</li><li>We have no conviction about the direction of the market - we don’t believe one can consistently predict this with high accuracy.</li></ul>

SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process is continuously evolving.Despite the market downturn our cumulative redemptions are a mere basis points of the fund.We are more concerned with the ‘two birds in the bush’ so to speak; and then extending the adage further: what is the price implying to catch these plump birds.With a more concentrated portfolio of businesses, portfolio volatility can be higher, but volatility can be compensated with higher returns.We have no conviction about the direction of the market - we don’t believe one can consistently predict this with high accuracy.

SaltLight Capital Management Q3 2022 Co-Investor Letter

<ul><li>We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).</li><li>Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.</li><li>As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.</li></ul>

We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will determine the portfolio’s return (and its risk).Most of our work is devoted to seeking out individual investment opportunities and analyzing them rather than to macroeconomic forecasting.As we expected, the need for capital investment over the long term has been, and will likely remain, higher than we anticipated.

Vltava Fund Q3 2022 Letter To Shareholders

United States

Markel Corporation markets and underwrites specialty insurance products and programs to a variety of niche markets.  The Company also underwrites a diverse property, casualty, marine, and aviation insurance and reinsurance business on a worldwide basis.

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Markel Corp (MKL US)

Portfolio Update: February 2024

Recently, a friend of mine asked me why I own positions in Markel and Brookfield, as they do not align with my typical investment style...

Contrarian Cashflows

Portfolio Update: April 2024

I recently came across a thought-provoking blog post by Andrew Walker on his YAVB discussing the possibility of a bubble forming in quality...

Contrarian Cashflows

Portfolio Update: March 2024

I recently had a conversation with a close friend and fellow investor, during which he shared his current research interest in the dollar store...

Contrarian Cashflows

SaltLight Capital Management Q3 2022 Co-Investor Letter

SaltLight Capital Management started in 2015 and has grown tremendously, with assets under management doubling each year. Our investment process...

Fund Newsletters

Vltava Fund Q3 2022 Letter To Shareholders

We may have different expectations concerning inflation, interest rates, or economic growth, but, at the end of the day, what we buy will...

Fund Newsletters

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)