Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China &amp; India based on bottom-up triggers in each company.</li>
<li>This is a mid-quarter update on companies as most companies will be announcing their September quarter results in next 45 days.</li>
<li>Based on these new results and guidance, we will update the list of top ideas accordingly.</li>
</ul>


We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China &amp; India based on bottom-up triggers in each company.
This is a mid-quarter update on companies as most companies will be announcing their September quarter results in next 45 days.
Based on these new results and guidance, we will update the list of top ideas accordingly.


Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's FY26 retail auto sales hit an all-time high of 2.967 crore units, up 13% YoY, posting record volumes driven by a GST 2.0 inflection and rural demand.</li>
<li>Domestic OEMs Tata Motors and Mahindra collectively expanded passenger vehicle market share by nearly 900 basis points between FY22 and FY26.</li>
<li>The market share swing is structural, not cyclical: India's origin share has risen from 51.6% to 48.6% (note: China's share halved, Japan declined 3 points), yet Indian-brand  have surged.</li>
</ul>


India's FY26 retail auto sales hit an all-time high of 2.967 crore units, up 13% YoY, posting record volumes driven by a GST 2.0 inflection and rural demand.
Domestic OEMs Tata Motors and Mahindra collectively expanded passenger vehicle market share by nearly 900 basis points between FY22 and FY26.
The market share swing is structural, not cyclical: India's origin share has risen from 51.6% to 48.6% (note: China's share halved, Japan declined 3 points), yet Indian-brand  have surged.


India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

<ul>
<li>India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.</li>
<li>
Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.</li>
<li>While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.</li>
</ul>


India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.
While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.


Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

<ul>
<li>Middle East tensions have increased the risk of Brent crude moving toward USD 85-90 per barrel in the near term.</li>
<li>For India, every USD 10 rise in crude can add around 30 bps to inflation and widen the current account deficit.</li>
<li>The impact will vary by sector. Upstream oil companies benefit, while oil-intensive sectors face margin pressure if prices stay elevated.</li>
</ul>


Middle East tensions have increased the risk of Brent crude moving toward USD 85-90 per barrel in the near term.
For India, every USD 10 rise in crude can add around 30 bps to inflation and widen the current account deficit.
The impact will vary by sector. Upstream oil companies benefit, while oil-intensive sectors face margin pressure if prices stay elevated.


Event Driven- Middle East Volatility: How Indian Sectors Respond to Higher Crude

<ul>
<li>Q3FY26 delivered strong volume-led growth across autos, supported by GST 2.0 reforms, lean inventories, and operating leverage.</li>
<li>
Demand momentum is robust, but rising raw material costs and supply rigidities create margin sustainability risks into FY27.</li>
<li>The sector stands on solid demand footing, yet sustainability hinges on pricing power, cost control, and supply normalization.</li>
</ul>


Q3FY26 delivered strong volume-led growth across autos, supported by GST 2.0 reforms, lean inventories, and operating leverage.

Demand momentum is robust, but rising raw material costs and supply rigidities create margin sustainability risks into FY27.
The sector stands on solid demand footing, yet sustainability hinges on pricing power, cost control, and supply normalization.


Thematic Report On Indian Auto Sector: GST Reduction Accelerates PV, 2W, CV and Tractor Demand

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

Strong Sales Volume for Maruti Suzuki in the month of September'26 - 236,013 units vs 189,665 units (24% YoY); Similarly for Ashok Leyland its 28%...

Sreemant Dudhoria

India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Event Driven- Middle East Volatility: How Indian Sectors Respond to Higher Crude

Middle East tensions may push Brent crude towards $85-90/barrel, posing inflation and current account deficit risks for India, with varying...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report On Indian Auto Sector: GST Reduction Accelerates PV, 2W, CV and Tractor Demand

Q3FY26 saw strong volume growth in auto sector due to GST 2.0 reforms, but rising costs pose margin risks in FY27. Sustainability depends on...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

Strong Sales Volume for Maruti Suzuki in the month of September'26 - 236,013 units vs 189,665 units (24% YoY); Similarly for Ashok Leyland its 28%...

Sreemant Dudhoria

India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

​India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

​India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Event Driven- Middle East Volatility: How Indian Sectors Respond to Higher Crude

​Middle East tensions may push Brent crude towards $85-90/barrel, posing inflation and current account deficit risks for India, with varying...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report On Indian Auto Sector: GST Reduction Accelerates PV, 2W, CV and Tractor Demand

​Q3FY26 saw strong volume growth in auto sector due to GST 2.0 reforms, but rising costs pose margin risks in FY27. Sustainability depends on...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Middle East tensions may push Brent crude towards $85-90/barrel, posing inflation and current account deficit risks for India, with varying...

Q3FY26 saw strong volume growth in auto sector due to GST 2.0 reforms, but rising costs pose margin risks in FY27. Sustainability depends on...