Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Toyota Kirloskar, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor</a>'s 89%-owned India JV, recorded a 65% rise in revenues and 240% jump in profits to around USD575 million in FY2024 following 48% increase in units sold.</li>
<li>The company has continued to maintain its strong growth momentum in FY2025 YTD, with wholesale volumes up 36% YoY.</li>
<li>Successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models, ramped-up production and customer-friendly initiatives have supported Toyota's accelerated volume growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Toyota Kirloskar, Toyota Motor's 89%-owned India JV, recorded a 65% rise in revenues and 240% jump in profits to around USD575 million in FY2024 following 48% increase in units sold.
The company has continued to maintain its strong growth momentum in FY2025 YTD, with wholesale volumes up 36% YoY.
Successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models, ramped-up production and customer-friendly initiatives have supported Toyota's accelerated volume growth in India.


Toyota Motor (7203 JP): Scripting an India Success Story with Suzuki Tie Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a> reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> JV), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Corp (000270 KS)</a> each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.</li>
<li>Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( Toyota Motor (7203 JP) JV), and Kia Corp (000270 KS) each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.
Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.


Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.</li><li>The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.</li>
<li>Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.</li>
</ul>


Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.

Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.
Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.


India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We summarize below the key takeaways from MSIL’s FY24 Annual Report.</li><li>MSIL will continue to partner with India on its ambitious Viksit Bharat initiative, and accordingly, it plans to scale up its production capacity to 4m units per annum by FY31.</li><li>Further, the company aims to revitalize the entry-level PV market while strengthening its competitive positioning in SUVs through new launches, thus retaining its market leadership.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize below the key takeaways from MSIL’s FY24 Annual Report.MSIL will continue to partner with India on its ambitious Viksit Bharat initiative, and accordingly, it plans to scale up its production capacity to 4m units per annum by FY31.Further, the company aims to revitalize the entry-level PV market while strengthening its competitive positioning in SUVs through new launches, thus retaining its market leadership.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maruti Suzuki - Scaling to a 4m Capacity to Maintain Leadership Position

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Toyota Motor (7203 JP): Scripting an India Success Story with Suzuki Tie Up

Fuelled by successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models,Toyota recorded highest ever revenues and profits in its India venture in FY2024. Growth...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

Intensifying competition in the SUV segment and sluggish demand in the hatchback segment has led to slowing sales volumes YTD. Market response to...

Devi Subhakesan

Auto Monthly Volume August 2024

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM...

Axis Direct

India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

Hyundai Motor India's dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet it remains strong in the SUV segment. Slipped to third place in retail market share...

Devi Subhakesan

Maruti Suzuki - Scaling to a 4m Capacity to Maintain Leadership Position

MSIL will continue to partner with India on its ambitious Viksit Bharat initiative, and accordingly, it plans to scale up its production capacity...

Motilal Oswal

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