Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Under the US tariffs, we have to seriously consider whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> can achieve 25% growth in 2025.  </li>
<li>We have conducted two scenario analyses and anticipate a likely loss of above 8.5% in 2025 revenue for TSMC, especially related to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>.  </li>
<li>The stock price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is expected to be somewhat reshuffled in the current US-China tariff environment.  </li>
</ul>


Under the US tariffs, we have to seriously consider whether Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve 25% growth in 2025.  
We have conducted two scenario analyses and anticipate a likely loss of above 8.5% in 2025 revenue for TSMC, especially related to Apple (AAPL US).  
The stock price of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is expected to be somewhat reshuffled in the current US-China tariff environment.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Brace Yourself for US Tariff! (II)

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Marvell Technology, Inc. recently reported robust performance in its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, driven by exceptional growth in its data center segment, which was boosted by strong AI demand and effective execution.</li><li>The company registered record revenues of $1.817 billion for the quarter, representing a 20% sequential and 27% year-over-year increase.</li><li>Impressively, the data center end market accounted for 75% of Marvell's total revenue in the quarter, fueled primarily by custom AI silicon programs and strong shipments of electro-optics products.</li></ul>

Marvell Technology, Inc. recently reported robust performance in its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, driven by exceptional growth in its data center segment, which was boosted by strong AI demand and effective execution.The company registered record revenues of $1.817 billion for the quarter, representing a 20% sequential and 27% year-over-year increase.Impressively, the data center end market accounted for 75% of Marvell's total revenue in the quarter, fueled primarily by custom AI silicon programs and strong shipments of electro-optics products.

Marvell Technology Inc.: Expansion Into Custom Silicon As A Vital Factor Driving Growth!

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC's Latest Global Expansion Plans, Visualized; Taiwan Manufacturing Will Continue to Remain One Generation Ahead of Overseas</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Invest Further in US up to 100bn; Intel Foundry Service Gets Direct Clients.</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News </li>
</ul>


TSMC's Latest Global Expansion Plans, Visualized; Taiwan Manufacturing Will Continue to Remain One Generation Ahead of Overseas
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Invest Further in US up to 100bn; Intel Foundry Service Gets Direct Clients.
Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Expansion Visualized; Implications of New U.S. Investment; New HBM Memory

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News</li>
<li>Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook</li>
<li>Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative</li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News
Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook
Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative


Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

<ul>
<li>We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  </li>
<li>It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  </li>
<li>Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  </li>
</ul>


We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  
It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  
Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

United States

Marvell Technology, Inc. develops and produces semiconductors and related technology. The Company offers security and networking platform, secure data processing, networking, and storage solutions. Marvell Technology serves customers worldwide.

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Marvell Technology (MRVL US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Brace Yourself for US Tariff! (II)

US tariffs may hinder Taiwan Semiconductor's growth, with potential revenue loss in 2025, particularly from Apple, impacting stock price reshuffling.

Patrick Liao

Marvell Technology Inc.: Expansion Into Custom Silicon As A Vital Factor Driving Growth!

Marvell Technology, Inc. recently reported robust performance in its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, driven by exceptional growth in its data...

Baptista Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Expansion Visualized; Implications of New U.S. Investment; New HBM Memory

TSMC plans additional $100bn for the U.S., but Taiwan will remain one generation ahead of overseas manufacturing; Nanya targeting new custom High...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

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TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Brace Yourself for US Tariff! (II)

​US tariffs may hinder Taiwan Semiconductor's growth, with potential revenue loss in 2025, particularly from Apple, impacting stock price reshuffling.

Patrick Liao

Marvell Technology Inc.: Expansion Into Custom Silicon As A Vital Factor Driving Growth!

Marvell Technology, Inc. recently reported robust performance in its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, driven by exceptional growth in its data...

Baptista Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Expansion Visualized; Implications of New U.S. Investment; New HBM Memory

​TSMC plans additional $100bn for the U.S., but Taiwan will remain one generation ahead of overseas manufacturing; Nanya targeting new custom High...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

​Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

​TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

US tariffs may hinder Taiwan Semiconductor's growth, with potential revenue loss in 2025, particularly from Apple, impacting stock price reshuffling.

TSMC plans additional $100bn for the U.S., but Taiwan will remain one generation ahead of overseas manufacturing; Nanya targeting new custom High...

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.