Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The Fed injected some volatility into the market after their December meeting, as they noted an uncertain inflation outlook and the SEP less expected rate cuts for 2025.</li>
<li>We discussed in our latest report (12/23/24 ETF Pathfinder), and continue to believe, that this is a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain risk-on, the SPX remains above 5850 (a key support level we have discussed since late-November), mid-caps (IJH) and small-caps (IWM) are above supports at $61.50 and $218</li>
</ul>


The Fed injected some volatility into the market after their December meeting, as they noted an uncertain inflation outlook and the SEP less expected rate cuts for 2025.
We discussed in our latest report (12/23/24 ETF Pathfinder), and continue to believe, that this is a buying opportunity.
Market dynamics remain risk-on, the SPX remains above 5850 (a key support level we have discussed since late-November), mid-caps (IJH) and small-caps (IWM) are above supports at $61.50 and $218


Semiconductors Re-Emerge as Leadership; $SPX $QQQ $IWM Outlook Remains Bullish

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CES portfolio rebalancing happening at the beginning of the year</li><li>Predictions for semiconductor and tech industry in 2025</li><li>Expectations for aerospace and military spending, as well as developments in AR glasses and foldable iPhones</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

CES portfolio rebalancing happening at the beginning of the yearPredictions for semiconductor and tech industry in 2025Expectations for aerospace and military spending, as well as developments in AR glasses and foldable iPhonesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 99: Semis Outlook for 2025 - Bullishness Remains

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and the immense growth spurt happened all right.</li><li>This last year was the year of AI through and through.</li><li>There’s a deep irony because anything related to AI had a phenomenal year while everything else languished. Surprisingly, SOXX underperformed the SPY, which seemed unheard of for the year that SOXX’s largest components ripped 100%+.</li></ul>

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and the immense growth spurt happened all right.This last year was the year of AI through and through.There’s a deep irony because anything related to AI had a phenomenal year while everything else languished. Surprisingly, SOXX underperformed the SPY, which seemed unheard of for the year that SOXX’s largest components ripped 100%+.

<ul><li>Marvell and Broadcom are focusing on accelerated infrastructure for data centers, with strong investments in custom silicon solutions for AI workloads</li><li>Marvell impresses with a clear vision and roadmap for the future of data centers, while Broadcom shows strong growth potential in AI with key customers</li><li>Broadcom's strong networking capabilities and custom offerings position them as a major player in the AI market, with potential for further M&amp;A activities in the future.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Marvell and Broadcom are focusing on accelerated infrastructure for data centers, with strong investments in custom silicon solutions for AI workloadsMarvell impresses with a clear vision and roadmap for the future of data centers, while Broadcom shows strong growth potential in AI with key customersBroadcom's strong networking capabilities and custom offerings position them as a major player in the AI market, with potential for further M&amp;A activities in the future.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 97: Accellerated Infrastructure - Marvell Analyst Day, Broadcomm Earnings - Infra!!

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  </li>
<li>It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  </li>
<li>Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  </li>
</ul>


We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  
It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  
Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

United States

Marvell Technology, Inc. develops and produces semiconductors and related technology. The Company offers security and networking platform, secure data processing, networking, and storage solutions. Marvell Technology serves customers worldwide.

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Marvell Technology (MRVL US)

Semiconductors Re-Emerge as Leadership; $SPX $QQQ $IWM Outlook Remains Bullish

Semiconductors Re-Emerge as Leadership $SMH $TSM $NVDA; $SPX $QQQ $IWM Outlook Remains Bullish Despite Recent Consolidation. Market Dynamics Remain...

Vermilion Research

Episode 99: Semis Outlook for 2025 - Bullishness Remains

Discussion on stock portfolio rebalancing and technology trends for 2025, including AI, semiconductor, and AR glasses markets, with predictions on...

The Circuit

2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and...

Fabricated Knowledge

Episode 97: Accellerated Infrastructure - Marvell Analyst Day, Broadcomm Earnings - Infra!!

Broadcom reported strong earnings with a focus on AI and custom silicon, highlighted their success in AI with key customers like Google and Apple,...

The Circuit

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

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Semiconductors Re-Emerge as Leadership; $SPX $QQQ $IWM Outlook Remains Bullish

Semiconductors Re-Emerge as Leadership $SMH $TSM $NVDA; $SPX $QQQ $IWM Outlook Remains Bullish Despite Recent Consolidation. Market Dynamics Remain...

Vermilion Research

Episode 99: Semis Outlook for 2025 - Bullishness Remains

Discussion on stock portfolio rebalancing and technology trends for 2025, including AI, semiconductor, and AR glasses markets, with predictions on...

The Circuit

2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and...

Fabricated Knowledge

Episode 97: Accellerated Infrastructure - Marvell Analyst Day, Broadcomm Earnings - Infra!!

Broadcom reported strong earnings with a focus on AI and custom silicon, highlighted their success in AI with key customers like Google and Apple,...

The Circuit

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

​TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.