Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Milian Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Milian Technology files for Hong Kong IPO and seeks fresh capital for further expanding its global presence and accelerating overseas market penetration.  </li>
<li>Xiaomi backed online social networking platform company is one of the fastest growing marriage and dating platforms in China, reaching RMB2,373m revenue in 2024, up ~129% YoY.</li>
<li>I expect Milian Technology may seek unicorn valuation in upcoming HK IPO as growth is exceptionally high and profitability improved.</li>
</ul>


Milian Technology files for Hong Kong IPO and seeks fresh capital for further expanding its global presence and accelerating overseas market penetration.  
Xiaomi backed online social networking platform company is one of the fastest growing marriage and dating platforms in China, reaching RMB2,373m revenue in 2024, up ~129% YoY.
I expect Milian Technology may seek unicorn valuation in upcoming HK IPO as growth is exceptionally high and profitability improved.


Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

<ul>
<li>Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform in China, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company has achieved significant traction with now ~10M avg. MAUs.</li>
<li>Milian Technology has raised ~US$77M in equity financing to date from investors, including Xiaomi, XVC Fund, Shunwei Capital, and Sky9 Capital, among others.</li>
<li>I believe Milian Technology’s growth is exceptionally high for any online social networking platform company in China at such scale.</li>
</ul>


Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform in China, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company has achieved significant traction with now ~10M avg. MAUs.
Milian Technology has raised ~US$77M in equity financing to date from investors, including Xiaomi, XVC Fund, Shunwei Capital, and Sky9 Capital, among others.
I believe Milian Technology’s growth is exceptionally high for any online social networking platform company in China at such scale.


Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27537:1" rel="noopener">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visa-inc-class-a-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8707:1" rel="noopener">Visa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/live-nation-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6893:1" rel="noopener">Live Nation Entertainment</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tko-group-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40463:1" rel="noopener">TKO Group Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/omnicom-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15775:1" rel="noopener">Omnicom Group</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.
The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US). 
The largest flows are expected in Exxon Mobil, Alphabet, Chevron Corp, Visa, Blackstone, Live Nation Entertainment, Meta, Broadcom, TKO Group Holdings, Dell Technologies and Omnicom Group.


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-global-management-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28770:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Global Management (APO US)</a> are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land (TPL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcor-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20703:1" rel="noopener">Emcor Group (EME US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lennox-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16420:1" rel="noopener">Lennox International (LII US)</a> are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. </li>
</ul>



AppLovin (APP US) and Apollo Global Management (APO US) are the main candidates for addition by transition as they are passing the estimated transition threshold and have strong eligibility metrics.  

Texas Pacific Land (TPL US) is the main candidate for addition by migration - despite failing eligibility - due to its significant distance above the minimum S&amp;P500 mcap threshold. 

Emcor Group (EME US) and Lennox International (LII US) are the next candidates for addition by migration with both passing eligibility and adequate distance above the mcap threshold. 


S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Match Group, a leading company in the online dating industry, has presented mixed results in their third-quarter financial performance for 2024.</li><li>The results reflect both opportunities and challenges across different brands within the company's portfolio, particularly in flagship products such as Tinder and Hinge.On the positive side, Match Group continues to see strong momentum with Hinge, which has delivered impressive user growth and revenue achievements.</li><li>Hinge reported a 36% year-over-year increase in direct revenue, supported by a 21% rise in users willing to pay for the app, and a 12% increase in Revenue Per Payer (RPP).</li></ul>

Match Group, a leading company in the online dating industry, has presented mixed results in their third-quarter financial performance for 2024.The results reflect both opportunities and challenges across different brands within the company's portfolio, particularly in flagship products such as Tinder and Hinge.On the positive side, Match Group continues to see strong momentum with Hinge, which has delivered impressive user growth and revenue achievements.Hinge reported a 36% year-over-year increase in direct revenue, supported by a 21% rise in users willing to pay for the app, and a 12% increase in Revenue Per Payer (RPP).

Match Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Product Innovation & Ecosystem Health & Other Major Drivers

United States

Match Group, Inc. is a dating service provider. The Company offers diverse portfolio of apps and services which enables connections across the spectrum of age, race, gender, sexual orientation, and backgrounds. Match Group serves customers worldwide.

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Match Group (MTCH US)

Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

I have a positive view of upcoming IPO given the company's rare combination of explosive revenue growth, strong paying user conversion rate, viral...

Andrei Zakharov

Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...

Andrei Zakharov

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) - the top migration candidate - has been announced as an addition to S&P500 prior to the quarterly review as it is...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Match Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Product Innovation & Ecosystem Health & Other Major Drivers

Match Group, a leading company in the online dating industry, has presented mixed results in their third-quarter financial performance for...

Baptista Research

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Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

I have a positive view of upcoming IPO given the company's rare combination of explosive revenue growth, strong paying user conversion rate, viral...

Andrei Zakharov

Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

​Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...

Andrei Zakharov

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

S&P500 December 2024 Forecasts: APP, APO and TPL Leading the Pack

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) - the top migration candidate - has been announced as an addition to S&P500 prior to the quarterly review as it is...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Match Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Product Innovation & Ecosystem Health & Other Major Drivers

Match Group, a leading company in the online dating industry, has presented mixed results in their third-quarter financial performance for...

Baptista Research

Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...