Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in <em>Int’l Compass</em> and <em>ETF Pathfinder</em> reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe</li>
</ul>


We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.
We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.
Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe


Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-health-medanta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34649:1" rel="noopener">Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN)</a> raised around US$268m in its India IPO. The stock was listed on 16th Nov 2022, its six-month lockup will expire on 11th May 2023.</li>
<li>Global Health (GH) is a hospital network that operates under the Medanta brand. The firm currently has five hospitals in operation and one more planned for development.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN) raised around US$268m in its India IPO. The stock was listed on 16th Nov 2022, its six-month lockup will expire on 11th May 2023.
Global Health (GH) is a hospital network that operates under the Medanta brand. The firm currently has five hospitals in operation and one more planned for development.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Global Health (Medanta) Lockup - Good Name but Seems Fairly Valued

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> reported improved occupancies, revenues, EBITDA and other operating and financial parameters in Q3FY23 versus year-ago period.   </li>
<li>The company recorded highest-ever EBITDA – both in terms of absolute value and margins, EBITDA per bed, ARPOB, and ROCE for the third consecutive quarter in FY23.</li>
<li>During the last three-year, Max had revenue and EBITDA CAGR of 12% and 59%, respectively. Consensus expects the company to report double-digit revenue and EPS growth through FY25.</li>
</ul>



Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported improved occupancies, revenues, EBITDA and other operating and financial parameters in Q3FY23 versus year-ago period.   
The company recorded highest-ever EBITDA – both in terms of absolute value and margins, EBITDA per bed, ARPOB, and ROCE for the third consecutive quarter in FY23.
During the last three-year, Max had revenue and EBITDA CAGR of 12% and 59%, respectively. Consensus expects the company to report double-digit revenue and EPS growth through FY25.


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Improving Operating Parameters; Well-Positioned for Long-Term Growth

Equity Capital Markets

Pharmaessentia Corp / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaessentia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16461:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT)</a> aims to raise around US$412m (TWD12.6bn) via a GDS issuance. The issuance will be a large one to digest, representing 17.6 days of three month ADV.</li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to accelerate the commercialization, further global clinical trials of BesREMi and conduct R&amp;D in the US for the expansion of the company's product portfolio. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) aims to raise around US$412m (TWD12.6bn) via a GDS issuance. The issuance will be a large one to digest, representing 17.6 days of three month ADV.
The proceeds will be used to accelerate the commercialization, further global clinical trials of BesREMi and conduct R&amp;D in the US for the expansion of the company's product portfolio. 
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


PharmaEssentia GDS Issuance - Strong Revenue Growth and Narrowing Losses

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Global Health (Medanta) Lockup - Good Name but Seems Fairly Valued

Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN) raised around US$268m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates...

Ethan Aw

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Improving Operating Parameters; Well-Positioned for Long-Term Growth

Max Health is poised for double-digit revenue growth, driven by improving occupancy, patient footfall, ARPOB, and bed expansion. Due to its metro...

Tina Banerjee

PharmaEssentia GDS Issuance - Strong Revenue Growth and Narrowing Losses

Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) aims to raise around US$412m (TWD12.6bn) via a GDS issuance. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and...

Ethan Aw

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