Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Max Healthcare Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> completed the acquisition of Jaypee Healthcare in last November, thereby adding 700 beds. Jaypee added INR1,120M revenue with an operating EBITDA of INR230M in Q3FY25.</li>
<li>Max is setting up ~500 bedded hospital at Thane, Maharashtra on an asset-light built-to-suit basis. The proposed construction of hospital premises is expected to be completed by 2028.</li>
<li>Current expansion plan indicates significant capacity ramp-up (20%+) in FY26, and majority of which will come by Q1, thereby generating scope for revenue realization for most part of the year.</li>
</ul>



Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) completed the acquisition of Jaypee Healthcare in last November, thereby adding 700 beds. Jaypee added INR1,120M revenue with an operating EBITDA of INR230M in Q3FY25.
Max is setting up ~500 bedded hospital at Thane, Maharashtra on an asset-light built-to-suit basis. The proposed construction of hospital premises is expected to be completed by 2028.
Current expansion plan indicates significant capacity ramp-up (20%+) in FY26, and majority of which will come by Q1, thereby generating scope for revenue realization for most part of the year.


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Multi-Pronged Expansion Strategy Augurs Well for Sustainable Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narayana-hrudayalaya-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26939:1" rel="noopener">Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd (NARH IN)</a> reported revenue growth of 12% over the last two years, which is on the lower side compared to the peers.</li>
<li>Capacity constraint is the major setback. Until the company adds new greenfield capacity, there will be no significant change in volume. Near-term growth expectation is subdued.</li>
<li>Compared to peers, NHL is a late mover in capacity expansion. Significant greenfield expansion is scheduled to complete in FY28, through which nearly 1,100 beds will be added.</li>
</ul>



Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd (NARH IN) reported revenue growth of 12% over the last two years, which is on the lower side compared to the peers.
Capacity constraint is the major setback. Until the company adds new greenfield capacity, there will be no significant change in volume. Near-term growth expectation is subdued.
Compared to peers, NHL is a late mover in capacity expansion. Significant greenfield expansion is scheduled to complete in FY28, through which nearly 1,100 beds will be added.


Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd (NARH IN): All That Cheap Is Not Always Value Buying Opportunity

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihh-healthcare-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:876:1" rel="noopener">IHH Healthcare (IHH MK)</a> reported stellar performance in 3Q23 exceeding expectations, with double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, while PAT more than doubles on higher patient volumes and improved case mix.</li>
<li>To deliver profitable growth, IHH will continue its organic expansion, including adding close to 4,000 beds in the next five years to its existing 12,000 operational beds.</li>
<li>Notwithstanding the strong underlying demand for quality healthcare services driving operational and financial growth, IHH expects cost pressures from elevated inflation, and rising interest rates.</li>
</ul>



IHH Healthcare (IHH MK) reported stellar performance in 3Q23 exceeding expectations, with double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, while PAT more than doubles on higher patient volumes and improved case mix.
To deliver profitable growth, IHH will continue its organic expansion, including adding close to 4,000 beds in the next five years to its existing 12,000 operational beds.
Notwithstanding the strong underlying demand for quality healthcare services driving operational and financial growth, IHH expects cost pressures from elevated inflation, and rising interest rates.


IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Double-Digit Growth Across Key Metrics for Q3; Bed Expansion to Continue

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

There are multiple changes to our expected ADDs and expected DELs lists for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 since the last time we published an insight...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Multi-Pronged Expansion Strategy Augurs Well for Sustainable Growth

Max Healthcare acquired Jaypee Healthcare, adding 700 beds in Q3FY25. The company is also setting up a 500-bed hospital in Thane, Maharashtra....

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd (NARH IN): All That Cheap Is Not Always Value Buying Opportunity

NHL starts FY26 on muted note, with Q1FY26 revenue from India operation increasing just 8% YoY, EBITDA margin narrowing to 23.9% (Q1FY25: 24.9%),...

Tina Banerjee

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Double-Digit Growth Across Key Metrics for Q3; Bed Expansion to Continue

IHH reported stellar performance in 3Q23, with 19% revenue and 26% EBITDA growth on higher patient volumes and improved case mix. The company plans...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

There are multiple changes to our expected ADDs and expected DELs lists for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 since the last time we published an insight...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Multi-Pronged Expansion Strategy Augurs Well for Sustainable Growth

​Max Healthcare acquired Jaypee Healthcare, adding 700 beds in Q3FY25. The company is also setting up a 500-bed hospital in Thane, Maharashtra....

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd (NARH IN): All That Cheap Is Not Always Value Buying Opportunity

NHL starts FY26 on muted note, with Q1FY26 revenue from India operation increasing just 8% YoY, EBITDA margin narrowing to 23.9% (Q1FY25: 24.9%),...

Tina Banerjee

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Double-Digit Growth Across Key Metrics for Q3; Bed Expansion to Continue

IHH reported stellar performance in 3Q23, with 19% revenue and 26% EBITDA growth on higher patient volumes and improved case mix. The company plans...

Tina Banerjee

Max Healthcare acquired Jaypee Healthcare, adding 700 beds in Q3FY25. The company is also setting up a 500-bed hospital in Thane, Maharashtra....