Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>September brings heavy index rebalancing activity. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> will join both the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>
The Fed is widely expected to cut rates and Asia-Pac peers (BoJ, RBA, RBI) are also meeting.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>


September brings heavy index rebalancing activity. Pop Mart (9992 HK) will join both the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX).

The Fed is widely expected to cut rates and Asia-Pac peers (BoJ, RBA, RBI) are also meeting.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Indian hospital sector is entering an aggressive expansion phase with top hospitals adding 32% to their bed base by FY27E, supported by brownfield and stronger return ratios.</li>
<li>With medical tourism offering 67–91% cost arbitrage versus global peers and insurance penetration gradually deepening, hospitals are positioned to capture both domestic and international demand profitably.</li>
<li>From being seen as defensive and “boring,” hospitals are transforming into high-growth, cash-generating businesses. Robust balance sheets and rising ARPOBs suggest that hospital chains are entering a golden growth cycle.</li>
</ul>


The Indian hospital sector is entering an aggressive expansion phase with top hospitals adding 32% to their bed base by FY27E, supported by brownfield and stronger return ratios.
With medical tourism offering 67–91% cost arbitrage versus global peers and insurance penetration gradually deepening, hospitals are positioned to capture both domestic and international demand profitably.
From being seen as defensive and “boring,” hospitals are transforming into high-growth, cash-generating businesses. Robust balance sheets and rising ARPOBs suggest that hospital chains are entering a golden growth cycle.


Thematic Report on Indian Hospitals - Boring but Beautiful?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vikram-solar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36670:1" rel="noopener">Vikram Solar (0490158D IN)</a> raised about US$238m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Vikram Solar (0490158D IN) raised about US$238m in its India IPO.
Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Vikram Solar IPO Trading - Robust Insti-Led Demand; Decent Anchor

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aster-dm-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23662:1" rel="noopener">Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)</a> reported 8% revenue growth in Q1FY26, driven by a 14% rise in ARPOB and 4% reduction in ALOS. EBITDA margin expanded 230bps to 20.0%.</li>
<li>Kerala revenue grew 5% as compared with 4% decline in Q4FY25, driven by 6% QoQ increase in-patient volumes and 200 bps QoQ increase in occupancy, reflecting early signs of recovery.</li>
<li>Q1FY26 results ensure that the momentum is back. With strong base business, proposed merger with QCIL, and expansion plan, Aster DM is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue growth through FY28.</li>
</ul>



Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) reported 8% revenue growth in Q1FY26, driven by a 14% rise in ARPOB and 4% reduction in ALOS. EBITDA margin expanded 230bps to 20.0%.
Kerala revenue grew 5% as compared with 4% decline in Q4FY25, driven by 6% QoQ increase in-patient volumes and 200 bps QoQ increase in occupancy, reflecting early signs of recovery.
Q1FY26 results ensure that the momentum is back. With strong base business, proposed merger with QCIL, and expansion plan, Aster DM is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue growth through FY28.


2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM (ASTERDM IN)- Starts FY26 On High Note; Announces New Hospital

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

September packs in index rebalances, quarterly expiries, central bank calls, and Fed drama—keeping markets busy amid a light holiday calendar.

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report on Indian Hospitals - Boring but Beautiful?

Indian hospitals are aggressively expanding, with strong growth potential driven by medical tourism and insurance penetration, transforming into...

Nimish Maheshwari

Vikram Solar IPO Trading - Robust Insti-Led Demand; Decent Anchor

Vikram Solar raised about US$238m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 13 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and the round-trip trade is INR 18.2bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM (ASTERDM IN)- Starts FY26 On High Note; Announces New Hospital

Aster DM reported 8% revenue growth in Q1FY26, driven by increased ARPOB and reduced ALOS. Strong performance indicates momentum is back, with...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

September packs in index rebalances, quarterly expiries, central bank calls, and Fed drama—keeping markets busy amid a light holiday calendar.

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report on Indian Hospitals - Boring but Beautiful?

​Indian hospitals are aggressively expanding, with strong growth potential driven by medical tourism and insurance penetration, transforming into...

Nimish Maheshwari

Vikram Solar IPO Trading - Robust Insti-Led Demand; Decent Anchor

Vikram Solar raised about US$238m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 13 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and the round-trip trade is INR 18.2bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM (ASTERDM IN)- Starts FY26 On High Note; Announces New Hospital

​Aster DM reported 8% revenue growth in Q1FY26, driven by increased ARPOB and reduced ALOS. Strong performance indicates momentum is back, with...

Tina Banerjee

Indian hospitals are aggressively expanding, with strong growth potential driven by medical tourism and insurance penetration, transforming into...

Aster DM reported 8% revenue growth in Q1FY26, driven by increased ARPOB and reduced ALOS. Strong performance indicates momentum is back, with...