Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.</li>
<li>NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.
NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).</li>
<li>On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.</li>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).
On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.
MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.


Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. </li>
<li>We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. 
We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

China

Maxscend Microelectronics Company Limited operates as an electrical components manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells smart phone radio frequency (RF) switches, low noise amplifiers, RF front end chips, and other products. Maxscend Microelectronics provides products for automotive, smart phone, and infrastructure areas.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Maxscend Microelectronics L (300782 CH)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Northbound Connect flows were positive for the first time in three months last week. Top stocks saw the same. Watch for more jawboning on short...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Northbound Connect flows were positive for the first time in three months last week. Top stocks saw the same. Watch for more jawboning on short...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

​The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...