Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>China smartphone market grows significantly in 3Q 2024, demonstrating strong demand for mobile devices.</li><li>Lam Research establishes new office at Tata-PSMC wafer fab, enhancing their presence in the semiconductor industry.</li><li>LG shifts focus to solutions over products in major restructuring, while BYD plans cost cuts in anticipation of potential tariffs.</li></ul>

China smartphone market grows significantly in 3Q 2024, demonstrating strong demand for mobile devices.Lam Research establishes new office at Tata-PSMC wafer fab, enhancing their presence in the semiconductor industry.LG shifts focus to solutions over products in major restructuring, while BYD plans cost cuts in anticipation of potential tariffs.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Nov-2024): China smartphone market, Q3 2024

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,003.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,568mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,003.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,568mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Smartphone demand remains slow, that contributes to weak outlook for commodity DRAM.  Nvidia / Mediatek and Qualcomm AI PC chips should be launched mid-2025. </li>
<li>Nvidia allocation of TSMC CoWoS remains at 60% in 2025, capacity doubles, Data Center GPU revenue will double? TSMC 2nm-16A roadmap on track.  </li>
<li>SK Hynix is now ahead of Samsung in HBM, DDR5, 3D NAND and SSD. Meanwhile, Samsung is buying back shares. </li>
</ul>


Smartphone demand remains slow, that contributes to weak outlook for commodity DRAM.  Nvidia / Mediatek and Qualcomm AI PC chips should be launched mid-2025. 
Nvidia allocation of TSMC CoWoS remains at 60% in 2025, capacity doubles, Data Center GPU revenue will double? TSMC 2nm-16A roadmap on track.  
SK Hynix is now ahead of Samsung in HBM, DDR5, 3D NAND and SSD. Meanwhile, Samsung is buying back shares. 


Tech News This Week: Smartphone, Mediatek, Nvidia, Qualcomm, TSMC, Super Micro, SK Hynix, Samsung

<ul><li>IC design firms remain positive about 2025 outlook despite uncertainties for 1Q25, showing resilience in the industry.</li><li>Taiwan evaluates consequences of Trump's potential revocation of China's trade status, highlighting potential geopolitical impacts.</li><li>JSR's construction of new EUV photoresist plant in S. Korea demonstrates commitment to meeting semiconductor demand in the region and globally.</li></ul>

IC design firms remain positive about 2025 outlook despite uncertainties for 1Q25, showing resilience in the industry.Taiwan evaluates consequences of Trump's potential revocation of China's trade status, highlighting potential geopolitical impacts.JSR's construction of new EUV photoresist plant in S. Korea demonstrates commitment to meeting semiconductor demand in the region and globally.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Nov-2024): IC design firms optimistic for 2025, cautious about 1Q25.

<ul>
<li>QCOM estimates ~5% Android revenues growth Cagr to FY29, Automotive 22%, IoT 21%. If QCOM keeps Apple business, revenue Cagr will be 9% to FY29. If QCOM loses it: 6%.</li>
<li>Mngt forecasts high Opex control, target at 22% of revenue, which looks aggressive. Opex reached 31% in FY23-24 . At 22% Opex, Operating Profit would grow ~13% Cagr to FY29.</li>
<li>Android growth looks low, Opex control demanding. As such, we could conclude that 10% Operating Profit Cagr is more likely than 13%. Even with lower growth, the stock is cheap. </li>
</ul>


QCOM estimates ~5% Android revenues growth Cagr to FY29, Automotive 22%, IoT 21%. If QCOM keeps Apple business, revenue Cagr will be 9% to FY29. If QCOM loses it: 6%.
Mngt forecasts high Opex control, target at 22% of revenue, which looks aggressive. Opex reached 31% in FY23-24 . At 22% Opex, Operating Profit would grow ~13% Cagr to FY29.
Android growth looks low, Opex control demanding. As such, we could conclude that 10% Operating Profit Cagr is more likely than 13%. Even with lower growth, the stock is cheap. 


Qualcomm Investor Day: Based on Management Forecasts, Best Case 13% Operating Profit Cagr to FY29

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Nov-2024): China smartphone market, Q3 2024

China's smartphone market grows in 3Q 2024, Lam Research expands, LG restructures focus, BYD plans cuts, Qualcomm and MediaTek diverge, Nvidia...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech News This Week: Smartphone, Mediatek, Nvidia, Qualcomm, TSMC, Super Micro, SK Hynix, Samsung

Smartphone demand remains slow. Nvidia and Qualcomm AI PC chips launched mid 2025. Nvidia allocation of TSMC CoWoS remains at 60% in 2025, capacity...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Nov-2024): IC design firms optimistic for 2025, cautious about 1Q25.

IC design firms optimistic for 2025, Taiwan monitors trade impact, JSR builds EUV plant, Japan cuts APB funding, MediaTek aims at Indian market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Qualcomm Investor Day: Based on Management Forecasts, Best Case 13% Operating Profit Cagr to FY29

QCOM expects 5% Android revenue growth, 22% in Automotive, 21% in IoT to FY29. Opex target at 22% of revenue, implying 13% Operating Profit Cagr....

Nicolas Baratte

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Nov-2024): China smartphone market, Q3 2024

China's smartphone market grows in 3Q 2024, Lam Research expands, LG restructures focus, BYD plans cuts, Qualcomm and MediaTek diverge, Nvidia...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech News This Week: Smartphone, Mediatek, Nvidia, Qualcomm, TSMC, Super Micro, SK Hynix, Samsung

Smartphone demand remains slow. Nvidia and Qualcomm AI PC chips launched mid 2025. Nvidia allocation of TSMC CoWoS remains at 60% in 2025, capacity...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Nov-2024): IC design firms optimistic for 2025, cautious about 1Q25.

IC design firms optimistic for 2025, Taiwan monitors trade impact, JSR builds EUV plant, Japan cuts APB funding, MediaTek aims at Indian market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Qualcomm Investor Day: Based on Management Forecasts, Best Case 13% Operating Profit Cagr to FY29

​QCOM expects 5% Android revenue growth, 22% in Automotive, 21% in IoT to FY29. Opex target at 22% of revenue, implying 13% Operating Profit Cagr....

Nicolas Baratte

QCOM expects 5% Android revenue growth, 22% in Automotive, 21% in IoT to FY29. Opex target at 22% of revenue, implying 13% Operating Profit Cagr....