Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GEM funds reduce exposure to Taiwanese Semiconductors, switching from overweight to their largest underweight in over a decade.</li>
<li>Absolute positioning levels still high, with Taiwanese Semiconductors the largest country/industry allocation for 61% of the managers in our analysis and a top 3 allocation for 78%.</li>
<li>Value investors moved first, switching from near equal weight in early 2020 to -1.95% underweight today.  All Style groups are now positioned underweight the MSCI EM benchmark, on average.</li>
</ul>


GEM funds reduce exposure to Taiwanese Semiconductors, switching from overweight to their largest underweight in over a decade.
Absolute positioning levels still high, with Taiwanese Semiconductors the largest country/industry allocation for 61% of the managers in our analysis and a top 3 allocation for 78%.
Value investors moved first, switching from near equal weight in early 2020 to -1.95% underweight today.  All Style groups are now positioned underweight the MSCI EM benchmark, on average.


Taiwan Semiconductors: Value Funds Drive Underweight

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>Overall short interests decreased by 1.5% WOW. We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
Overall short interests decreased by 1.5% WOW. We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Wiwynn Corp

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.</li>
<li>We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.</li>
<li>Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.</li>
</ul>


Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.
We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.
Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.


MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.</li>
<li>Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.</li>
<li>U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.</li>
</ul>


Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.
Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.
U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Taiwan Semiconductors: Value Funds Drive Underweight

Taiwanese Semiconductor allocations among GEM active funds are well off the highs of 2021 as more funds scale back holdings and many move to an...

Steven Holden

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai Lines, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Wiwynn Corp

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week (as of Dec 16th) and highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

In this insight, we analyse MediaTek, the world’s 4th largest fabless semiconductor company and the largest smartphone System-on-Chip (SoC) maker,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending. U.S. asks Japan to comply with China chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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