Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,432/1,427 points and the resistance at 1,444/1,453 points (10-day EMA).</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a large sideways range between 1,273-1,716 points, while the short-term trend is testing the support level of a descending triangle pattern, awaiting confirmation of a downtrend toward 1,406 points if the index breaks below the previous support at 1,432 points.</li><li>We recommend selling on rallies and buying back near the key support level.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,432/1,427 points and the resistance at 1,444/1,453 points (10-day EMA).In the medium term, the index remains in a large sideways range between 1,273-1,716 points, while the short-term trend is testing the support level of a descending triangle pattern, awaiting confirmation of a downtrend toward 1,406 points if the index breaks below the previous support at 1,432 points.We recommend selling on rallies and buying back near the key support level.

Flash Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs in October for Japan, the EU and US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.</li><li>We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.</li><li>Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of 1,325-1,404 points) and the resistance at 1,375/1,380 points (50-day EMA/75-day EMA).</li><li>Flash manufacturing and services PMIs in May: Japan's figures (Jibun Bank) are expected at 50.2/53.8 (vs. April at 49.6/54.3); the figures in the EU (HBOC) are forecast at 46.6/53.4 (vs. 45.7/53.3 in April); and the readings in the US (S&P Global) are expected at 50.1/51.3 (vs. 50.0/51.3 in April).</li><li>Should the figures surpass expectations, they will signal positive trends in international exports.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of 1,325-1,404 points) and the resistance at 1,375/1,380 points (50-day EMA/75-day EMA).Flash manufacturing and services PMIs in May: Japan's figures (Jibun Bank) are expected at 50.2/53.8 (vs. April at 49.6/54.3); the figures in the EU (HBOC) are forecast at 46.6/53.4 (vs. 45.7/53.3 in April); and the readings in the US (S&P Global) are expected at 50.1/51.3 (vs. 50.0/51.3 in April).Should the figures surpass expectations, they will signal positive trends in international exports.

Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Japan, the EU and the US

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

China

Meituan is a Chinese technology company that operates a platform for local services, including on-demand food delivery, in-store services, consumer reviews, hotel and travel bookings, and instant retail. The company also offers bike sharing, e-moped sharing, and grocery delivery services. Meituan is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2010.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Flash Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs in October for Japan, the EU and US

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,432/1,427 points and the resistance at...

Krungthai XSpring

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Japan, the EU and the US

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of...

Krungthai XSpring

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

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