Blue Lotus Research Institute

Andy Fu

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Consumption subsidies in China has been muted in the 2020-2024 period, compared to practices in 2009-2012. We believe it reflects different thought of Chinese government at these two times;</li>
<li>Past data has suggested that consumption subsidies are effective. We expect consumer subsidies of ~RMB 50bn to be issued in C2H24 to revive consumption;</li>
<li>An even bigger consumer stimulus of ~RMB 200bn might be issued in 2025, and we believe a consumption tax reform might be one the permanent fixes for the purpose.</li>
</ul>


Consumption subsidies in China has been muted in the 2020-2024 period, compared to practices in 2009-2012. We believe it reflects different thought of Chinese government at these two times;
Past data has suggested that consumption subsidies are effective. We expect consumer subsidies of ~RMB 50bn to be issued in C2H24 to revive consumption;
An even bigger consumer stimulus of ~RMB 200bn might be issued in 2025, and we believe a consumption tax reform might be one the permanent fixes for the purpose.


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）
BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

<ul>
<li>PDD US/META US: Temu continues to be the most downloaded app in the US (+)</li>
<li>PDD US : PDD launching new ad-tool to replace previous tools (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's Third-Person Shooter Game &lt;Synced&gt; Announces Termination of Service on September 9th (-)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/META US: Temu continues to be the most downloaded app in the US (+)
PDD US : PDD launching new ad-tool to replace previous tools (+)
700 HK: Tencent's Third-Person Shooter Game &lt;Synced&gt; Announces Termination of Service on September 9th (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/META/700 HK/NTES/BIDU/3690 HK/JD/DADA/DDL/002024 CH/SHEIN/BABA

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin Coffee Opens Its 20,000th Store . (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK:July holiday saw normal seasonliaty in EV sales, Xiaomi ramp up nicely（///////）</li>
<li>XPEV US: Details of new refreshed Xpeng sedan P7 revealed (+)</li>
</ul>


LKNCY US: Luckin Coffee Opens Its 20,000th Store . (+)
1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK:July holiday saw normal seasonliaty in EV sales, Xiaomi ramp up nicely（///////）
XPEV US: Details of new refreshed Xpeng sedan P7 revealed (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

<ul>
<li>3690 HK:Kuaigou Dache (ride hailing) Lowers Commission Rate for Drivers in Tianjin to 10% (-)</li>
<li>TCOM US:Ctrip Introduces Family Card, Allowing Users to Book Trips for Their Elderly Parents (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; to Launch Ranked System Optimization: Points for Wins and Losses (+)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK:Kuaigou Dache (ride hailing) Lowers Commission Rate for Drivers in Tianjin to 10% (-)
TCOM US:Ctrip Introduces Family Card, Allowing Users to Book Trips for Their Elderly Parents (+)
700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; to Launch Ranked System Optimization: Points for Wins and Losses (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

China

Meituan is a Chinese technology company that operates a platform for local services, including on-demand food delivery, in-store services, consumer reviews, hotel and travel bookings, and instant retail. The company also offers bike sharing, e-moped sharing, and grocery delivery services. Meituan is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2010.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/META/700 HK/NTES/BIDU/3690 HK/JD/DADA/DDL/002024 CH/SHEIN/BABA

Temu remains popular in the US, PDD introduces new ad-tool, Tencent's game to end service on September 9th.JD launches Dutch-style auction.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part IV：Consumption Voucher Is Effective

​China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

​NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/META/700 HK/NTES/BIDU/3690 HK/JD/DADA/DDL/002024 CH/SHEIN/BABA

​Temu remains popular in the US, PDD introduces new ad-tool, Tencent's game to end service on September 9th.JD launches Dutch-style auction.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

​Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

​Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China's consumption subsidies have been quite conservative but actually effective. We expect more subsidies in 2H24 and far more in 2025. We...

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Temu remains popular in the US, PDD introduces new ad-tool, Tencent's game to end service on September 9th.JD launches Dutch-style auction.

Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...