Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Analysis of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba's (9988 HK)</a> implied volatility surface as of June 20, 2025, examining implied volatility patterns, skew structures, and open interest distribution across various expiry dates.</li>
<li>
Highlights: One-month implied volatility at 31.6% is trading at historically cheap levels (13th percentile), while the skew shows a pronounced volatility smile favoring spreads.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for options traders and volatility strategists looking to capitalize on the historical cheapness of current implied volatility levels, particularly given the favorable skew structure for spread strategies.</li>
</ul>



Context: Analysis of Alibaba's (9988 HK) implied volatility surface as of June 20, 2025, examining implied volatility patterns, skew structures, and open interest distribution across various expiry dates.

Highlights: One-month implied volatility at 31.6% is trading at historically cheap levels (13th percentile), while the skew shows a pronounced volatility smile favoring spreads.

Why Read: Essential for options traders and volatility strategists looking to capitalize on the historical cheapness of current implied volatility levels, particularly given the favorable skew structure for spread strategies.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Options Insights: Navigating Contango and Skew for Profitable Trades

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan Food Delivery Daily Orders Reach 90 Million (+)</li>
<li>JD US: JD Officially Launches OTA Hotel and Travel Business with Three-Year Zero Commission Policy(+/-/-)</li>
<li>1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: TikTok Announces Launch of Japan E-commerce Business as Early as This Month (+/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK: Meituan Food Delivery Daily Orders Reach 90 Million (+)
JD US: JD Officially Launches OTA Hotel and Travel Business with Three-Year Zero Commission Policy(+/-/-)
1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: TikTok Announces Launch of Japan E-commerce Business as Early as This Month (+/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 20th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 20th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15577:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH)</a> (FHCC), China’s leading condiments company, raised around US$1.5bn (including over-allocation) in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>FHCC is China’s leading condiments company within its main product categories of soy sauce, oyster sauce, flavored sauce, specialty condiment products and other products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH) (FHCC), China’s leading condiments company, raised around US$1.5bn (including over-allocation) in its H-share listing.
FHCC is China’s leading condiments company within its main product categories of soy sauce, oyster sauce, flavored sauce, specialty condiment products and other products.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Foshan Haitian Flavouring A/H Trading - Very Strong Demand, Weak Price Momentum

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Government's consumption boost should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). 
The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by Trip.com Group (9961 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK). 
Government's consumption boost should benefit Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) in 2H25.


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Meituan (3690 HK)

Alibaba (9988 HK) Options Insights: Navigating Contango and Skew for Profitable Trades

Analysis of Alibaba's implied volatility surface shows historically cheap implied volatility and favorable skew structure for spread strategies.

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Foshan Haitian Flavouring A/H Trading - Very Strong Demand, Weak Price Momentum

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH) raised around US$1.5bn (including over-allocation) in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (9988 HK) Options Insights: Navigating Contango and Skew for Profitable Trades

​Analysis of Alibaba's implied volatility surface shows historically cheap implied volatility and favorable skew structure for spread strategies.

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

​Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Foshan Haitian Flavouring A/H Trading - Very Strong Demand, Weak Price Momentum

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH) raised around US$1.5bn (including over-allocation) in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

​The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Analysis of Alibaba's implied volatility surface shows historically cheap implied volatility and favorable skew structure for spread strategies.

Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...