Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

Melco Resorts & Entertainment / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>By many standard measures, Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment shares appear to be either fully or overvalued even at its pandemic beaten down price of $US6.94.</li>
<li>A discounted cash flow analysis revealed a negative -US($1.18) intrinsic value. But the calculation is based on assumed path of pandemic too difficult to predict accurately.</li>
<li>The company had a pre-pandemic  Macau market share of over 16%. It is among the leaders in Manila's entertainment zone, and expects its Cyprus property to open by Dec. 2022</li>
</ul>


By many standard measures, Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment shares appear to be either fully or overvalued even at its pandemic beaten down price of $US6.94.
A discounted cash flow analysis revealed a negative -US($1.18) intrinsic value. But the calculation is based on assumed path of pandemic too difficult to predict accurately.
The company had a pre-pandemic  Macau market share of over 16%. It is among the leaders in Manila's entertainment zone, and expects its Cyprus property to open by Dec. 2022


Melco Resorts: A Bottom Fishing Opportunity in This Asia Gaming Leader

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Hongqiao</a></li><li><a href='/entities/times-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Times China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/guangzhou-r-f-properties-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Guangzhou R&F Properties</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China HongqiaoTimes ChinaChina Jinmao HoldingsGuangzhou R&F PropertiesSunac China Holdingsand more...

This month, we undertake a study of movements in the Lucror Analytics Risk Assessment (LARA) for issuers in the Lucror Asia HY index over the last five years. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  This month, we undertake a study of movements in the Lucror Analytics Risk Assessment (LARA) for issuers in the Lucror Asia HY index over the last five years.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - LARA Transition Study - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-company-limited-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited H</a></li><li><a href='/entities/indika-energy-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Indika Energy</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lippo Karawaci</a></li><li><a href='/entities/agile-property-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Agile Property Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:First Pacific CoYanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited HIndika EnergyLippo KarawaciAgile Property Holdingsand more...

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s A$13.10 offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. </li>
<li>We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s A$13.10 offer from Blackstone Group (BX US) to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  
The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. 
We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.


Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

Hong Kong

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US)

Melco Resorts: A Bottom Fishing Opportunity in This Asia Gaming Leader

MLCO shares have been battered along with the Macau sector due to Covid travel restrictions. But now having dipped below US$7 we see it as a bottom...

Howard J Klein

Weekly Wrap - 08 Apr 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - LARA Transition Study - Lucror Analytics

This month, we undertake a study of movements in the Lucror Analytics Risk Assessment (LARA) for issuers in the Lucror Asia HY index over the...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 01 Apr 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. Scheme meeting is on 29 April. At the last close and for the 12...

Arun George

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