Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, Fosun International</li>
<li>UST yields rose yesterday alongside a sell-off in long-dated European bonds, as well as on account of concerns that court rulings against US President Donald Trump's tariffs would worsen the country's fiscal deficit.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.64%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.26%. Equities slipped, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq down 0.7% and 0.8% at 6,416 and 21,280, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, Fosun International
UST yields rose yesterday alongside a sell-off in long-dated European bonds, as well as on account of concerns that court rulings against US President Donald Trump's tariffs would worsen the country's fiscal deficit.
The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.64%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.26%. Equities slipped, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq down 0.7% and 0.8% at 6,416 and 21,280, respectively.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, UPL Limited, Nissan Motor</li>
<li>UST yields plunged on Friday, led by the front end, as the market repriced expectations for Fed easing following a weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls report. As of Friday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 61 bps of rate cuts over the next three meetings in 2025 (vs. 33 bps as of Thursday). The UST curve bull steepened aggressively, with the yield on the 2Y UST declining 28 bps to 3.68%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 16 bps to 4.22%.</li>
<li>Equities retreated owing to the weak jobs numbers, continued tariff concerns, as well as after US President Donald Trump said the US was moving two nuclear submarines in response to “provocative” statements by former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev. The S&amp;P 500 fell 1.6% to 6,238, while the Nasdaq was down 2.2% at 20,650.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, UPL Limited, Nissan Motor
UST yields plunged on Friday, led by the front end, as the market repriced expectations for Fed easing following a weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls report. As of Friday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 61 bps of rate cuts over the next three meetings in 2025 (vs. 33 bps as of Thursday). The UST curve bull steepened aggressively, with the yield on the 2Y UST declining 28 bps to 3.68%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 16 bps to 4.22%.
Equities retreated owing to the weak jobs numbers, continued tariff concerns, as well as after US President Donald Trump said the US was moving two nuclear submarines in response to “provocative” statements by former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev. The S&amp;P 500 fell 1.6% to 6,238, while the Nasdaq was down 2.2% at 20,650.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Steel, Tata Motors</li>
<li>US President Donald Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Sunday hat the US had “a very good meeting with China in Switzerland”, with “great progress made”. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer described "substantial progress", adding that further details would be announced today.</li>
<li>Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng highlighted that the talks were "candid, in-depth and constructive" on issues of concern to both countries, adding that the meeting “achieved substantial progress” and “reached important consensus”.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Steel, Tata Motors
US President Donald Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Sunday hat the US had “a very good meeting with China in Switzerland”, with “great progress made”. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer described "substantial progress", adding that further details would be announced today.
Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng highlighted that the talks were "candid, in-depth and constructive" on issues of concern to both countries, adding that the meeting “achieved substantial progress” and “reached important consensus”.


<ul>
<li>Melco Resorts and Entertainment's Q4/24 results remained soft, owing to a decline in the EBITDA margin, and despite GGR outperforming that of peers.</li>
<li>In addition, the company's debt reduction and deleveraging continued to lag peers, as FCF generation was constrained by the soft earnings, ongoing share repurchases, as well as capex requirements (including for the development project in Sri Lanka).</li>
</ul>


Melco Resorts and Entertainment's Q4/24 results remained soft, owing to a decline in the EBITDA margin, and despite GGR outperforming that of peers.
In addition, the company's debt reduction and deleveraging continued to lag peers, as FCF generation was constrained by the soft earnings, ongoing share repurchases, as well as capex requirements (including for the development project in Sri Lanka).


Melco Resorts - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results - Lucror Analytics

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

<ul>
<li>We initiate our coverage on Health and Happiness International Holding Limited (H&amp;H)’s BTSDF 9.125% 24Jul2028.</li>
<li>H&amp;H has refinanced USD320m of 2026 notes with the new USD300m of 2028 notes at a 9.125% coupon. The new bonds help extend its debt maturity and lower financing cost.</li>
<li>The bonds offer diversification and a chance to invest back in China after the fallout in the property sector. We assign an OVERWEIGHT recommendation.</li>
</ul>


We initiate our coverage on Health and Happiness International Holding Limited (H&amp;H)’s BTSDF 9.125% 24Jul2028.
H&amp;H has refinanced USD320m of 2026 notes with the new USD300m of 2028 notes at a 9.125% coupon. The new bonds help extend its debt maturity and lower financing cost.
The bonds offer diversification and a chance to invest back in China after the fallout in the property sector. We assign an OVERWEIGHT recommendation.


Hong Kong

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, Fosun International

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, UPL Limited,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Steel, Tata Motors

Lucror Analytics

Melco Resorts - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results - Lucror Analytics

Melco Resorts and Entertainment's Q4/24 results remained soft, owing to a decline in the EBITDA margin, and despite GGR outperforming that of...

Lucror Analytics

Health & Happiness: On Deleveraging Path

Coverage initiated on H&H's new 9.125% 2028 bonds, offering diversification and a chance to invest in China post-property sector fallout....

Bondcritic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, Fosun International

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, UPL Limited,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Steel, Tata Motors

Lucror Analytics

Melco Resorts - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results - Lucror Analytics

Melco Resorts and Entertainment's Q4/24 results remained soft, owing to a decline in the EBITDA margin, and despite GGR outperforming that of...

Lucror Analytics

Health & Happiness: On Deleveraging Path

​Coverage initiated on H&H's new 9.125% 2028 bonds, offering diversification and a chance to invest in China post-property sector fallout....

Bondcritic

Coverage initiated on H&H's new 9.125% 2028 bonds, offering diversification and a chance to invest in China post-property sector fallout....