Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Equity Bottom-Up

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now.</li><li>While Meta was -20% at one point AH today, it does seem a bit overdone.</li><li>Of all the post-earnings drop that I have experienced following Meta since 2018, this one probably made me nervous the least.</li></ul>

If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now.While Meta was -20% at one point AH today, it does seem a bit overdone.Of all the post-earnings drop that I have experienced following Meta since 2018, this one probably made me nervous the least.

<ul><li>So I took this weekend to update my models on Meta and Amazon. I just wanted to leave some brisk thoughts on these updated models.</li><li>I will start with Meta today and will share my thoughts on Amazon tomorrow.</li><li>You can find the updated model on Meta here which I encourage you to download to play around with your own narrative as you see fit.</li></ul>

So I took this weekend to update my models on Meta and Amazon. I just wanted to leave some brisk thoughts on these updated models.I will start with Meta today and will share my thoughts on Amazon tomorrow.You can find the updated model on Meta here which I encourage you to download to play around with your own narrative as you see fit.

<ul><li>Take a look at the Facebook’s DAU or MAU number for the last time because Meta will stop reporting them from next quarter.</li><li>Investors usually assume the worst when any important KPI gets deprecated by the company.</li><li>Thankfully, along with Family “Daily Active People” (DAP), Meta will report YoY changes in ad impressions and average price per ad by <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">region</span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">.</span></li></ul>

Take a look at the Facebook’s DAU or MAU number for the last time because Meta will stop reporting them from next quarter.Investors usually assume the worst when any important KPI gets deprecated by the company.Thankfully, along with Family “Daily Active People” (DAP), Meta will report YoY changes in ad impressions and average price per ad by region.

<ul><li>During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?</li><li>The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.</li><li>I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.</li></ul>

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

<ul>
<li>Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.</li>
<li>The company's second quarter financial results communicate robust growth.</li>
<li>However, risks remain, and we are concerned about the potential nominal Earnings decline and the effect onMeta's priceMultiples.</li>
</ul>


Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.
The company's second quarter financial results communicate robust growth.
However, risks remain, and we are concerned about the potential nominal Earnings decline and the effect onMeta's priceMultiples.


Meta: Making Sense Of Its Q2 Highs And Lows

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

Meta 1Q'24 Update

If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now. While Meta was -20% at one...

MBI Deep Dives

Meta Platforms: Model Update

So I took this weekend to update my models on Meta and Amazon. I just wanted to leave some brisk thoughts on these updated models.

MBI Deep Dives

Meta 4Q'23 Update

Take a look at the Facebook’s DAU or MAU number for the last time because Meta will stop reporting them from next quarter.

MBI Deep Dives

Meta's Moat

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009? The number that got the highest votes...

MBI Deep Dives

Meta: Making Sense Of Its Q2 Highs And Lows

Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research