External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25</li><li>However, a few exceptional names drive up the average</li><li>In retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding days</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25However, a few exceptional names drive up the averageIn retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding daysContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

<ul><li>We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories</li><li>Despite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze button</li><li>Several factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtrading</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categoriesDespite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze buttonSeveral factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtradingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)</li><li>Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of deposits</li><li>With limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lower</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of depositsWith limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lowerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A mosaic of channel checks and management commentary across earnings calls makes us suspect MBL may be at an interesting point in its expansion journey</li><li>The inferences we drew across channel checks suggest (1) demand continues to stabilize in Q2 (GST-led fluctuations notwithstanding)</li><li>Post the implementation of new GST rates (22 Sept 2025), Sep-25 sales are likely to readjust, (2) &lt; INR2,500 products account for 40% of sales, which could potentially see a rejuvenation in demand as GST savings aid consumer purchasing power</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A mosaic of channel checks and management commentary across earnings calls makes us suspect MBL may be at an interesting point in its expansion journeyThe inferences we drew across channel checks suggest (1) demand continues to stabilize in Q2 (GST-led fluctuations notwithstanding)Post the implementation of new GST rates (22 Sept 2025), Sep-25 sales are likely to readjust, (2) &lt; INR2,500 products account for 40% of sales, which could potentially see a rejuvenation in demand as GST savings aid consumer purchasing powerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metro Brands: Walkway could be the joker in the pack. Maintain SELL

India

Metro Brands Ltd. is a major Indian footwear specialty retailer, operating a diverse portfolio of in-house and international brands for men, women, unisex, and children. The company offers footwear across various categories, including casual, formal, festive, and athleisure, alongside fashion accessories like handbags, belts, and wallets. Headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, the company was founded in 1955.

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Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

Metro Brands: Walkway could be the joker in the pack. Maintain SELL

A mosaic of channel checks and management commentary across earnings calls makes us suspect MBL may be at an interesting point in its expansion...

HDFC Securities

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