Weekly podcast series by SemiWiki.com, SemiWiki.com

SemiWiki.com

Weekly podcast series by SemiWiki.com

Semiconductor Insiders: A weekly podcast series by SemiWiki.com, the open forum for semiconductor professionals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>New CEO of RISC V International focusing on continuity with previous CEO's roadmap</li><li>Prioritizing commercialization of RISC V in key industries like HPC, Data center, AI, Automotive, and Space</li><li>Key takeaways from RISC V Summit Europe include engagement from global attendees, important panels with industry leaders, and upgrades in software ecosystem membership.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

New CEO of RISC V International focusing on continuity with previous CEO's roadmapPrioritizing commercialization of RISC V in key industries like HPC, Data center, AI, Automotive, and SpaceKey takeaways from RISC V Summit Europe include engagement from global attendees, important panels with industry leaders, and upgrades in software ecosystem membership.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Podcast EP294: An Overview of the Momentum and Breadth of the RISC-V Movement with Andrea Gallo

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> is likely to exceed its 2Q25 guidance by 5–10%, while the outlook for 3Q25 appears somewhat gloomy, with a flat quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) performance likely.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> are allocating a few thousand 12” wafers at UMC, but it appears to be the end of the product cycle.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, for example, has been relatively aggressive in wafer procurement in 2Q25, which could lead to a pullback in 3Q25.  </li>
</ul>



United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) is likely to exceed its 2Q25 guidance by 5–10%, while the outlook for 3Q25 appears somewhat gloomy, with a flat quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) performance likely.

Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) and NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) are allocating a few thousand 12” wafers at UMC, but it appears to be the end of the product cycle.  

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), for example, has been relatively aggressive in wafer procurement in 2Q25, which could lead to a pullback in 3Q25.  


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Gloomy Outlook for 3Q25.

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WSTS is revising up Semiconductor demand for 2024 and 2025, AI demand higher than expected. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues are still booming, impressive numbers.</li>
<li>Samsung and SK Hynix expediting new LPDDR “In Memory Processing” for Nvidia in 2026. TSMC forecast AI demand 3x increase to 2026.</li>
<li>Intel 18A low yield and low density brings new light on management reshuffle. TSMC N2 is ~20% ahead. Apple trying its own 5G modem, again.</li>
</ul>


WSTS is revising up Semiconductor demand for 2024 and 2025, AI demand higher than expected. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues are still booming, impressive numbers.
Samsung and SK Hynix expediting new LPDDR “In Memory Processing” for Nvidia in 2026. TSMC forecast AI demand 3x increase to 2026.
Intel 18A low yield and low density brings new light on management reshuffle. TSMC N2 is ~20% ahead. Apple trying its own 5G modem, again.


Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Horizon Robotics, a leading provider of ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>I expect Horizon Robotics will price its IPO below last round valuation of ~$8.7B as revenue growth will slow below 50% y/y in 2024, down from 71% y/y in 2023.</li>
<li>The company’s key competitors, including Mobileye and Microchip Technology, revised their revenue guidance downwards for the second half of 2024.</li>
</ul>


Horizon Robotics, a leading provider of ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong IPO.
I expect Horizon Robotics will price its IPO below last round valuation of ~$8.7B as revenue growth will slow below 50% y/y in 2024, down from 71% y/y in 2023.
The company’s key competitors, including Mobileye and Microchip Technology, revised their revenue guidance downwards for the second half of 2024.


Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. </li>
<li>Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.</li>
<li>Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. 
Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.
Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.


United States

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

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Microchip Technology (MCHP US)

Podcast EP294: An Overview of the Momentum and Breadth of the RISC-V Movement with Andrea Gallo

The new CEO of RISC-V continues the roadmap set by the previous CEO, focusing on commercialization in various industries and prioritizing...

SemiWiki.com

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Gloomy Outlook for 3Q25.

UMC may beat 2Q25 guidance, but 3Q25 outlook appears flat; QCOM and NVDA allocating wafers at UMC, signaling end of product cycle; Samsung...

Patrick Liao

Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...

Nicolas Baratte

Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened

In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and explain why high valuation of Horizon Robotics may be at risk

Andrei Zakharov

Commodity Comeback

S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.

Douglas Busch

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Podcast EP294: An Overview of the Momentum and Breadth of the RISC-V Movement with Andrea Gallo

The new CEO of RISC-V continues the roadmap set by the previous CEO, focusing on commercialization in various industries and prioritizing...

SemiWiki.com

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Gloomy Outlook for 3Q25.

UMC may beat 2Q25 guidance, but 3Q25 outlook appears flat; QCOM and NVDA allocating wafers at UMC, signaling end of product cycle; Samsung...

Patrick Liao

Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

​Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...

Nicolas Baratte

Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened

In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and explain why high valuation of Horizon Robotics may be at risk

Andrei Zakharov

Commodity Comeback

​S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.

Douglas Busch

Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...

S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.