HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Bio-Heart Biological Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Among innovative medical device companies in HKEX under Chapter 18A, Bio-heart is quite “special”- It is the only company without commercialized products but has higher market value than the peers.</li>
<li>The competitiveness of Bio-heart’s core products is not high. There are great uncertainties in terms of the commercialization outlook, because Bio-heart doesn’t have obvious advantages in development progress/sales capability.</li>
<li>Bio-Heart is overvalued. Its efforts to maintain high share price may be to pave the way for listing in A-share,but anything deviates from fundamentals would inevitably return to the origin. </li>
</ul>


Among innovative medical device companies in HKEX under Chapter 18A, Bio-heart is quite “special”- It is the only company without commercialized products but has higher market value than the peers.
The competitiveness of Bio-heart’s core products is not high. There are great uncertainties in terms of the commercialization outlook, because Bio-heart doesn’t have obvious advantages in development progress/sales capability.
Bio-Heart is overvalued. Its efforts to maintain high share price may be to pave the way for listing in A-share,but anything deviates from fundamentals would inevitably return to the origin. 


Shanghai Bio-Heart Biological Technology (2185.HK) - The Bubble Will Eventually Burst

<ul>
<li>We saw some rebounds of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s share price recently, which was mainly driven by the catalysts from the policy side. However, such rebounds would not last. </li>
<li>Microport’s development mode is unfavorable to investors. It’s not surprising for Microport to underperform or its valuation to be lower than expected. We recommend investors to focus more on Microport's subsidiaries.</li>
<li>The communication between Microport and investors has a problem, leading investors to think the management's no longer credible. How to repay the US$700 million convertible bond is also a problem.</li>
</ul>


We saw some rebounds of Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s share price recently, which was mainly driven by the catalysts from the policy side. However, such rebounds would not last. 
Microport’s development mode is unfavorable to investors. It’s not surprising for Microport to underperform or its valuation to be lower than expected. We recommend investors to focus more on Microport's subsidiaries.
The communication between Microport and investors has a problem, leading investors to think the management's no longer credible. How to repay the US$700 million convertible bond is also a problem.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - Underperformance Would Be the Norm

<ul>
<li>Among domestic enterprises, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-neurotech-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35379:1" rel="noopener">MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)</a>’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>, the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. </li>
<li>Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.</li>
<li>By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.</li>
</ul>


Among domestic enterprises, MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of Microport Scientific (853 HK), the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. 
Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.
By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.


MicroPort NeuroTech (2172.HK) 22H1 - Advantages Deserve Recognition, but with Overvaluation Risk

Equity Capital Markets

Lepu Medical Technology A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Lepu suffered from the negative impact of VBP on drug/medical consumables, and its share price has yet to recover. We are not optimistic about the outlook of the traditional businesses.</li>
<li>Lepu’s expansion mainly relies on continuous M&amp;A. Whether these diversified businesses will produce synergies and how much performance they will contribute need to be tested by time and the market.</li>
<li>Excessive epitaxial expansion may not be a long-term solution. Lepu needs to focus more on endogenous growth and R&amp;D,which is good for sustainable long-term growth. Such business transformation takes time.</li>
</ul>


Lepu suffered from the negative impact of VBP on drug/medical consumables, and its share price has yet to recover. We are not optimistic about the outlook of the traditional businesses.
Lepu’s expansion mainly relies on continuous M&amp;A. Whether these diversified businesses will produce synergies and how much performance they will contribute need to be tested by time and the market.
Excessive epitaxial expansion may not be a long-term solution. Lepu needs to focus more on endogenous growth and R&amp;D,which is good for sustainable long-term growth. Such business transformation takes time.


Pre-IPO Lepu Medical Technology - Lepu Is in a Difficult Position and Turning It Around Takes Time

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The rebounds in healthcare sector is more due to oversold. Unfriendly macro environment could make stock price fluctuate largely.Investors would find better places to long than the current valuation level.</li>
<li>The new document about payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is an important “policy correction” signal, but there are still problems remain to be solved.</li>
<li>We analyzed our top picks and investment logic in CXO, pharmaceuticals and medical device industry. Overall, as a “defensive sector”, China healthcare has investment value in such complicated external environment.</li>
</ul>


The rebounds in healthcare sector is more due to oversold. Unfriendly macro environment could make stock price fluctuate largely.Investors would find better places to long than the current valuation level.
The new document about payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is an important “policy correction” signal, but there are still problems remain to be solved.
We analyzed our top picks and investment logic in CXO, pharmaceuticals and medical device industry. Overall, as a “defensive sector”, China healthcare has investment value in such complicated external environment.


2022H2 China Healthcare Investment Strategy and Top Picks

China

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

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Microport Scientific (853 HK)

Shanghai Bio-Heart Biological Technology (2185.HK) - The Bubble Will Eventually Burst

Bio-heart’s core products lack competitiveness, with high uncertainties in commercialization outlook. High valuation is maintained so as to get...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang