Concise Playbook for the Week, Global Markets Playbook

Kevin George

Concise Playbook for the Week

Global Markets Playbook

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. 

Alongside technical setups I will provide earnings analysis, company valuation analysis and macroeconomic studies for the key market releases.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Microsoft is improving its search market share, according to analysts.</li>
<li>The arrival of ChatGPT hammered Alphabet stock may be ahead as revenue effects sink in, says analyst.</li>
<li>The company is also improving its market share and improving its search market share.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft is improving its search market share, according to analysts.
The arrival of ChatGPT hammered Alphabet stock may be ahead as revenue effects sink in, says analyst.
The company is also improving its market share and improving its search market share.


High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Microsoft news of rolling out ChapGPT into its Bing search browser and eventually into its Microsoft Office product suite has dominated the news cycle the past few weeks as AI computing has garnered Wall St.’s full attention.</li><li>Within two months, OpenAI’s ChatGPT app has registered 100 million users – nearly one-third of the U.S. population.</li><li>Microsoft has not hidden it plans to challenge Google search dominance and erode its existing market share.</li></ul>

Microsoft news of rolling out ChapGPT into its Bing search browser and eventually into its Microsoft Office product suite has dominated the news cycle the past few weeks as AI computing has garnered Wall St.’s full attention.Within two months, OpenAI’s ChatGPT app has registered 100 million users – nearly one-third of the U.S. population.Microsoft has not hidden it plans to challenge Google search dominance and erode its existing market share.

Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>We are re-introducing two regular posts, Monday Morning Musings and Friday Market Thinking to book-end the week, on the basis that regular postings are appreciated by readers, as well as providing a good discipline for ourselves.</li><li>Other posts will continue obviously. The idea of ‘Musings’ is that while none of the following might merit a full post of their own, they might perhaps add up to some interesting observations (of sorts).</li><li>This week, it is all back to ‘normal’ as Davos man hops on a Private Jet and returns to their snowy ancestral home to talk once again about climate change and world poverty for the World Economic Forum.</li></ul>

We are re-introducing two regular posts, Monday Morning Musings and Friday Market Thinking to book-end the week, on the basis that regular postings are appreciated by readers, as well as providing a good discipline for ourselves.Other posts will continue obviously. The idea of ‘Musings’ is that while none of the following might merit a full post of their own, they might perhaps add up to some interesting observations (of sorts).This week, it is all back to ‘normal’ as Davos man hops on a Private Jet and returns to their snowy ancestral home to talk once again about climate change and world poverty for the World Economic Forum.

<ul><li>Technology bellwethers Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will all report earnings this week which will be closely dissected and produce market moving swings. </li><li>To add to the fun, the Federal Reserve meeting is also meeting this week and is expected to hike interest rates another 75bps. </li><li>With global high frequency economic data showing forward looking signs of significant weakening, Jay Powell’s press conference will closely watched to see if he leaves any sliver of daylight open to slowing or pausing rates or balance sheet runoff into the fall/winter timeframe.</li></ul>

Technology bellwethers Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will all report earnings this week which will be closely dissected and produce market moving swings. To add to the fun, the Federal Reserve meeting is also meeting this week and is expected to hike interest rates another 75bps. With global high frequency economic data showing forward looking signs of significant weakening, Jay Powell’s press conference will closely watched to see if he leaves any sliver of daylight open to slowing or pausing rates or balance sheet runoff into the fall/winter timeframe.

<ul><li>I mentioned a few weeks ago that the current market correction would likely begin to pickup speed when the mega caps like Apple and Microsoft began their corrections and re-rated lower below their 200 day moving averages like most of the Nasdaq index.</li><li>On Friday, we saw a significant bounce off extreme oversold conditions but many charts still need significant time to base and repair themselves.</li><li>If we are truly entering a new bear market, relief bounces like these will become common which is something investors likely haven’t seen in awhile after years of “buy the dip” bull market mentality was in full force.</li></ul>

I mentioned a few weeks ago that the current market correction would likely begin to pickup speed when the mega caps like Apple and Microsoft began their corrections and re-rated lower below their 200 day moving averages like most of the Nasdaq index.On Friday, we saw a significant bounce off extreme oversold conditions but many charts still need significant time to base and repair themselves.If we are truly entering a new bear market, relief bounces like these will become common which is something investors likely haven’t seen in awhile after years of “buy the dip” bull market mentality was in full force.

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

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