Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The market lacked short-term momentum as investors awaited the Fed meeting outcome.</li><li>Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.</li><li>External factors are slightly positive, supported by continued gains in the US stock market, though mostly driven by speculation in technology stocks.</li></ul>

The market lacked short-term momentum as investors awaited the Fed meeting outcome.Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.External factors are slightly positive, supported by continued gains in the US stock market, though mostly driven by speculation in technology stocks.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 29, 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.</li><li>Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.</li><li>Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

<ul><li>Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.</li><li>During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).</li><li>The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

<ul><li>Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.</li><li>We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).</li><li>We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 29, 2025

Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.

Krungthai XSpring

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.

CMB International

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

Bloomberg consensus projects the Big Four’s capex to increase by 48% YoY / 8% QoQ to ~US$78.6bn in CY2Q25E, and full-year capex to top US$319bn...

CMB International

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless...

CMB International

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

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