HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>For the reasons why Midea is eager to IPO in HK, investors shouldn’t just look at the surface of its glory, but delve into the “real motives” behind capital operations.</li>
<li>The policy of subsidizing the trade-in of home appliances belongs to “early overdraft of demand” and is unsustainable. Valuation logic for the performance increment brought by such policy is P/B.</li>
<li>If Midea cannot achieve the expected breakthroughs in To B business or internationalization in 2025-2026 to hedge against the weak domestic business, Midea's performance/valuation in following years would inevitable decline.</li>
</ul>


For the reasons why Midea is eager to IPO in HK, investors shouldn’t just look at the surface of its glory, but delve into the “real motives” behind capital operations.
The policy of subsidizing the trade-in of home appliances belongs to “early overdraft of demand” and is unsustainable. Valuation logic for the performance increment brought by such policy is P/B.
If Midea cannot achieve the expected breakthroughs in To B business or internationalization in 2025-2026 to hedge against the weak domestic business, Midea's performance/valuation in following years would inevitable decline.


Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Here Are the Risks Behind

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. </li>
<li>We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.</li>
<li>Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. </li>
</ul>


We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. 
We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.
Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Media reports indicate that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a> has priced its H-shares IPO at HK$54.8/share, the top of the range. That is a 19.85% discount to the A-shares.</li>
<li>Reports also indicate that the IPO was oversubscribed multiple times with Hillhouse and GIC putting in large orders. That could result in the Offer Size Adjustment Option being exercised.</li>
<li>The exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option will take the IPO raise to HK$31bn (US$3.98bn) and index inclusion in some of the larger indices will become a lot easier.</li>
</ul>


Media reports indicate that Midea Group (000333 CH) has priced its H-shares IPO at HK$54.8/share, the top of the range. That is a 19.85% discount to the A-shares.
Reports also indicate that the IPO was oversubscribed multiple times with Hillhouse and GIC putting in large orders. That could result in the Offer Size Adjustment Option being exercised.
The exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option will take the IPO raise to HK$31bn (US$3.98bn) and index inclusion in some of the larger indices will become a lot easier.


Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> raised around US$4.6bn in its H-share listing (including over-allocation), after the deal was upsized.</li>
<li>Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.</li>
<li>We have covered the deal background in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) raised around US$4.6bn in its H-share listing (including over-allocation), after the deal was upsized.
Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.
We have covered the deal background in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Midea A/H Listing - Strong Demand for Quality Asset, Index Flows Could Help in the near Term

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>'s AH discount of 13.8%.</li>
<li>Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)'s AH discount of 13.8%.
Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.


Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

China

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

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Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim

Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry

Midea Group (300 HK) lists today. There could be investors switching from the A-shares to the H-shares. Index Fast Entry for the H-shares will...

Brian Freitas

Midea A/H Listing - Strong Demand for Quality Asset, Index Flows Could Help in the near Term

Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) raised around US$4.6bn in its H-share listing (including over-allocation), after the deal was upsized. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Here Are the Risks Behind

During Mid Autumn Festival, home appliance chain sales was up >30% YoY after years of decline. Due to trade-ins policy, there's sharp increase in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim

Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry

Midea Group (300 HK) lists today. There could be investors switching from the A-shares to the H-shares. Index Fast Entry for the H-shares will...

Brian Freitas

Midea A/H Listing - Strong Demand for Quality Asset, Index Flows Could Help in the near Term

Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) raised around US$4.6bn in its H-share listing (including over-allocation), after the deal was upsized. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

The H Share listing and Futu grey market price imply an AH discount of 21.4% and 17.4%, respectively, which is attractive compared to Haier, its...

Arun George