Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>A potentially massive change is underway in the housing markets in China. The great policy push by the government from the very top since mid-2017, and the bottom-up need driven by affordability problems and changing mindsets have taken the rental housing market centre stage in the China property sector. With this note, we initiate our data and analytics entry into the sector that we label as ULTRA – Urban Long Term Rental Apartments sector.</p>

A potentially massive change is underway in the housing markets in China. The great policy push by the government from the very top since mid-2017, and the bottom-up need driven by affordability problems and changing mindsets have taken the rental housing market centre stage in the China property sector. With this note, we initiate our data and analytics entry into the sector that we label as ULTRA – Urban Long Term Rental Apartments sector.

China Rental Housing Revolution - Part 1: The Landscape

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.</li>
<li>ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.</li>
<li>DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.
ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.
DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 27th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, HSBC, Tencent, Meituan, SMIC, China Life, CHALCO, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 27th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, HSBC, Tencent, Meituan, SMIC, China Life, CHALCO, Zijin Mining.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 27th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, HSBC, Tencent, Meituan, SMIC

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.</li>
<li>Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. </li>
</ul>


With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.
Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. 


Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (2692 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-zhaowei-machinery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46000:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK)</a> (003021 CH), raised around US$240m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>(SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK) (003021 CH), raised around US$240m in its H-share listing.
(SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Trading - Decent Insti and Strong Retail Demand, No Greenshoe

China

Midea Real Estate Holding Limited is an investment holding company that provides property management services, asset operation, real estate technology, and project management services. The company has transitioned to an asset-light model, focusing on integrated property services and smart living solutions. It was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

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Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK)

China Rental Housing Revolution - Part 1: The Landscape

A potentially massive change is underway in the housing markets in China. The great policy push by the government from the very top since mid-2017,...

Robert Ciemniak

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 27th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, HSBC, Tencent, Meituan, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, HSBC, Tencent, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings including returns, premiums and...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Trading - Decent Insti and Strong Retail Demand, No Greenshoe

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK) (003021 CH), raised around US$240m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

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