External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~4.2% YoY, while EBITDA/PAT is expected to decline by ~3.4% each on account of commodity inflation, negative operating leverage, and changes in regulatory norms.</li><li>The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and low teens volume growth in the tractor industry (however, Escorts are up only 1%).</li><li>The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline would be due to higher discounts/advertisement expenses and negative operating leverage (production halts) being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~4.2% YoY, while EBITDA/PAT is expected to decline by ~3.4% each on account of commodity inflation, negative operating leverage, and changes in regulatory norms.The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and low teens volume growth in the tractor industry (however, Escorts are up only 1%).The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline would be due to higher discounts/advertisement expenses and negative operating leverage (production halts) being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.</li><li>This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.</li><li>On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

<ul><li>Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, and d) Strong pickup in electricity demand.</li><li>Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.</li><li>Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, and d) Strong pickup in electricity demand.Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~15%/35%/36% YoY along with ~218bps improvement in EBITDA margin.</li><li>The growth will be driven by i) Double-digit volume growth in 2Ws and ii) high single-digit growth for PVs, partially offset by Single/Mid-teen YoY decline in the CV and tractor volumes respectively.</li><li>The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by a richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes taken over the last one year.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~15%/35%/36% YoY along with ~218bps improvement in EBITDA margin.The growth will be driven by i) Double-digit volume growth in 2Ws and ii) high single-digit growth for PVs, partially offset by Single/Mid-teen YoY decline in the CV and tractor volumes respectively.The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by a richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes taken over the last one year.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The crux of the EV Policy lies in its strategic initiative to entice Global Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to establish local production facilities for electric vehicles (EVs), requiring a substantial investment of at least USD 500 million.</li><li>The policy entails a reduction in Custom Duty to 15% (earlier 60%-100%) on import of completely built units with a minimum value of USD 35,000, subject to certain conditions.</li><li>Notably, this incentive is capped at 8,000 units annually and necessitates a gradual increase in local manufacturing, reaching 25% domestic value addition by the third year and 50% by the fifth year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The crux of the EV Policy lies in its strategic initiative to entice Global Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to establish local production facilities for electric vehicles (EVs), requiring a substantial investment of at least USD 500 million.The policy entails a reduction in Custom Duty to 15% (earlier 60%-100%) on import of completely built units with a minimum value of USD 35,000, subject to certain conditions.Notably, this incentive is capped at 8,000 units annually and necessitates a gradual increase in local manufacturing, reaching 25% domestic value addition by the third year and 50% by the fifth year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry Update: Electric Vehicle Policy

India

Minda Corporation Limited is a leading Indian automotive component manufacturer, specializing in advanced mechatronics, electronic, and mechanical solutions. The company supplies Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket across two-wheelers, three-wheelers, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-roaders. Its diverse product range includes vehicle access systems, wiring harnesses, die-casting parts, and information and connected systems. Headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, the company was incorporated in 1985.

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Minda Corporation (MDA IN)

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Automobile

On a sequential basis, the Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth for Q1FY26 is expected to degrow by ~7.6%/12.9%/15.7% with over ~100 bps decline in EBITDA...

Axis Direct

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.

Axis Direct

Q4FY24 Consolidated Earnings Preview

Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill...

Axis Direct

Auto - Q4FY24 - Earnings Preview

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~15%/35%/36% YoY along with ~218bps improvement in EBITDA margin.

Axis Direct

Automotive Industry Update: Electric Vehicle Policy

The crux of the EV Policy lies in its strategic initiative to entice Global Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to establish local production...

Axis Direct

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