Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) Index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 21st February 2025.</li>
<li>We expect four changes for the HSIII index in March 2025. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) Index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 21st February 2025.
We expect four changes for the HSIII index in March 2025. 


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar25: Couple of Names Have High Impact; Time for a Trade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the HSIII was 31 December. The changes will be announced on 21 February and become effective after the close 7 March.</li>
<li>There could be 5 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion to the HSCI and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
</ul>


The review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the HSIII was 31 December. The changes will be announced on 21 February and become effective after the close 7 March.
There could be 5 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is a potential inclusion to the HSCI and the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March

Black Sesame International Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect four changes for the HSIII index in March 2025 and currently expect flows of US$114mn one-way (including capping flows which will change).</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect four changes for the HSIII index in March 2025 and currently expect flows of US$114mn one-way (including capping flows which will change).


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Internet & IT March 25: 4 Changes Likely; Some Names Have High-Impact

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mainland China investors continued to increase their purchases of Hong Kong shares through the southbound connect platform after Trump's win. Mainland investors bought a record HK$800B of HK shares in 2024.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weimob-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27394:1" rel="noopener">Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)</a> announced it is connecting its Weimob mini-programs to Tencent's (700 HK) WeChat mini-shop. This move further integrates the SaaS company into Tencent's ecosystem.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> announced a license agreement with US-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aadi-bioscience-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37488:1" rel="noopener">Aadi Bioscience (AADI US)</a>.  Also, Wuxi was not included in the Senate version of the BioSecure legislation improving investor sentiment.
</li>
</ul>


Mainland China investors continued to increase their purchases of Hong Kong shares through the southbound connect platform after Trump's win. Mainland investors bought a record HK$800B of HK shares in 2024.

Weimob Inc. (2013 HK) announced it is connecting its Weimob mini-programs to Tencent's (700 HK) WeChat mini-shop. This move further integrates the SaaS company into Tencent's ecosystem.


Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) announced a license agreement with US-based Aadi Bioscience (AADI US).  Also, Wuxi was not included in the Senate version of the BioSecure legislation improving investor sentiment.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

China

MYCG is a software solution provider in China with a focus on real estate. The company provides enterprise resource planning (ERP) solutions and SaaS products to property developers and other industry participants in the real estate value chain in China.

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Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar25: Couple of Names Have High Impact; Time for a Trade

SUNeVision (1686 HK) and Huitongda (9878 HK) could have 8.8x and 6.9x ADV to buy and sell respectively. SUNeVision (1686 HK) could outperform...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March

There could be 5 constituent changes for the HSIII in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.75% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.12bn...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Internet & IT March 25: 4 Changes Likely; Some Names Have High-Impact

Expected ADDs SUNeVision and Black Sesame have 8.5x ADV and 3x ADV to buy respectively. Expected DELs Huitongda and Ming Yuan Cloud have 5.1x and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

Mainland investors are increasing their buying of HK shares after Trump's election win. Mainlanders bought a record HK$800B of shares this year and...

David Mudd

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