Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We lay out MiniMax's September liquidity events, from today's Undertaking (b) unlock through the 21 Sep bond conversion window.</li>
<li>We review the stock's post-Connect inclusion trading, including southbound buying, short interest, consensus revisions.</li>
<li>We assess the overhang associated with the lock up events.</li>
</ul>


We lay out MiniMax's September liquidity events, from today's Undertaking (b) unlock through the 21 Sep bond conversion window.
We review the stock's post-Connect inclusion trading, including southbound buying, short interest, consensus revisions.
We assess the overhang associated with the lock up events.


MINIMAX-W: Second Lock-Up Expiry and Convertible Bond Conversion Analysis

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a>, an AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing in January 2026. A second set of shares are set to be unlocked soon.</li>
<li>Minimax’s foundation model suite includes large language models, video generation models, and models for speech and music generation.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



MiniMax (100 HK), an AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing in January 2026. A second set of shares are set to be unlocked soon.
Minimax’s foundation model suite includes large language models, video generation models, and models for speech and music generation.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: MiniMax Lockup Expiry - US$1.6bn Southbound Linked Lockup Release

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MiniMax’s 1H26 total revenue is 4X its 1H25 revenue, lower than 5X we expected.</li>
<li>The company actively expanded its B2B business outside mainland China.</li>
<li>MiniMax overcame all costs except for research and development expense.</li>
</ul>


MiniMax’s 1H26 total revenue is 4X its 1H25 revenue, lower than 5X we expected.
The company actively expanded its B2B business outside mainland China.
MiniMax overcame all costs except for research and development expense.


MiniMax (100 HK): 1H26, Actively Expand B2B Outside China

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OpenAI, Anthropic and Google released frontier models, while OpenAI cancelled GPT-6.1 Astra after safety tests and the FTC opened a probe into AI-agent safety.</li>
<li>Anthropic's IPO prospectus showed Q2 revenue of USD 11.5bn, OpenAI sought at least USD 30bn at a USD 1.4tn valuation, and Meta launched an enterprise AI platform.</li>
<li>Amazon explored moving USD 8bn of Nvidia chips into a leaseback vehicle, AMD agreed to buy World Labs for USD 8.2bn, and Firmus priced its ASX IPO.</li>
</ul>


OpenAI, Anthropic and Google released frontier models, while OpenAI cancelled GPT-6.1 Astra after safety tests and the FTC opened a probe into AI-agent safety.
Anthropic's IPO prospectus showed Q2 revenue of USD 11.5bn, OpenAI sought at least USD 30bn at a USD 1.4tn valuation, and Meta launched an enterprise AI platform.
Amazon explored moving USD 8bn of Nvidia chips into a leaseback vehicle, AMD agreed to buy World Labs for USD 8.2bn, and Firmus priced its ASX IPO.


This Week in AI (Sep 27-Oct 3): OpenAI Drops Astra for Sol; Sonnet 5.5 Nears Opus at 1/2 the Price

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We study 139 HK listings since 2025 and collected performance data for cornerstone investors, covering both raw cornerstone names and mapped investor entities where available.</li>
<li>We identify repeat cornerstone investors and sponsors with stronger post-listing track records, focusing on 2W return distribution, dollar-weighted return, deal count, and downside range.</li>
<li>We further examine investor-sponsor relationships, using both raw co-participation counts and sponsor-adjusted intensity to highlight cornerstone investors and sponsor pairings worth following.</li>
</ul>


We study 139 HK listings since 2025 and collected performance data for cornerstone investors, covering both raw cornerstone names and mapped investor entities where available.
We identify repeat cornerstone investors and sponsors with stronger post-listing track records, focusing on 2W return distribution, dollar-weighted return, deal count, and downside range.
We further examine investor-sponsor relationships, using both raw co-participation counts and sponsor-adjusted intensity to highlight cornerstone investors and sponsor pairings worth following.


2025/2026 HK IPO: Cornerstone Investors That Matter

China

MiniMax Group is an artificial intelligence company that develops multimodal AI models and consumer applications. Its offerings include AI character apps like Talkie and Xingye, and video-generation services such as Hailuo AI. The company also creates proprietary foundation models capable of understanding, generating, and integrating various modalities including text, audio, images, video, and music. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, MiniMax was founded in December 2021.

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MiniMax (100 HK)

MINIMAX-W: Second Lock-Up Expiry and Convertible Bond Conversion Analysis

We update on MiniMax's (100 HK) September liquidity events, post-Connect trading and 1H26 results. ADV20 has doubled since inclusion, and today's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: MiniMax Lockup Expiry - US$1.6bn Southbound Linked Lockup Release

MiniMax (100 HK), an AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing in January 2026. A second set of shares are set to...

Sumeet Singh

MiniMax (100 HK): 1H26, Actively Expand B2B Outside China

MiniMax’s 1H26 total revenue is 4X its 1H25 revenue. The company actively expand its B2B business outside mainland China. MiniMax overcame all...

Ming Lu

This Week in AI (Sep 27-Oct 3): OpenAI Drops Astra for Sol; Sonnet 5.5 Nears Opus at 1/2 the Price

This week in AI: OpenAI scrapped GPT-6.1 Astra and shipped Sol, Anthropic released Sonnet 5.5 at half Opus's price, and Google launched Gemini 4...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2025/2026 HK IPO: Cornerstone Investors That Matter

HK IPO: We studied 139 deals from 2025 to-date to build a quantifiable cornerstone-investor signal for future IPO participation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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