Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24</li>
<li>It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL</li>
<li>Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. </li>
</ul>



Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24
It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL
Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. 


Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.</li><li>The company plans to buy back shares and resume dividend distribution for FY24. That could make its dividend yield attractive given its current low valuation.</li><li>Moreover, Minth’s earnings visibility becomes even better with its capex cuts and new business expansion, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.The company plans to buy back shares and resume dividend distribution for FY24. That could make its dividend yield attractive given its current low valuation.Moreover, Minth’s earnings visibility becomes even better with its capex cuts and new business expansion, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Minth Group (425 HK) - In-Line 1H24 with Better Earnings Visibility Ahead

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect samestore metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect samestore metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Resilient Leading Indicators During Off-Peak Time

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.</li><li>Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024 sales volumes on 1 Aug.Total sales volume combined rose 33% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +950%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -22% to +10%) in Jul.Li Auto beat, NIO in line, Xpeng restocking. Li Auto delivered about 51,000 units (+7% MoM) in Jul, a record high, better than our prior forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

China

Minth Group Ltd. manufactures exterior automobile body parts.  The Company produces structural body parts, decorative parts, and trim.  Minth supplies multinational automobile manufacturers operating in China.

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Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)

Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Dirt cheap valuation (-27% YTD) while numbers have improved. Produced an environmentally friendly aluminum with 85% less emissions compared to...

Henry Soediarko

Minth Group (425 HK) - In-Line 1H24 with Better Earnings Visibility Ahead

Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.

CMB International

Auto - Resilient Leading Indicators During Off-Peak Time

We summarize the Jul 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Auto - Likely First MoM Rise for Jul NEV Retail Since 2021

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jul 2024...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

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