Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Earnings Growth: Non-resource engines (Food, FamilyMart, ICT, Textiles) compounding at double-digit rates; mid- to high-single-digit EPS growth outlook.</li>
<li>Valuation: Trades at ~13× FY2026E P/E, in line with peers, offering steady TSR without a valuation premium.</li>
<li>Capital Returns: ¥200/share dividend + ¥150 bn buybacks underpin 40–50% payout; EPS uplift from share reduction.</li>
</ul>


Earnings Growth: Non-resource engines (Food, FamilyMart, ICT, Textiles) compounding at double-digit rates; mid- to high-single-digit EPS growth outlook.
Valuation: Trades at ~13× FY2026E P/E, in line with peers, offering steady TSR without a valuation premium.
Capital Returns: ¥200/share dividend + ¥150 bn buybacks underpin 40–50% payout; EPS uplift from share reduction.


Itochu (8001 JP) — Structural Growth, Fair Valuation, Solid TSR

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

<ul>
<li>Copper earnings leverage: Equity-method stakes in Collahuasi and Anglo Sur mean every +10% copper move adds ~¥25–30 bn net income (~3% EPS), giving Mitsui underappreciated upside torque.</li>
<li>LNG stability &amp; cash flows: Long-term contracts in Mozambique, Cameron, Qatar, and Sakhalin underpin resilient earnings and support ¥400 bn annual buybacks (~5% equity).</li>
<li>Valuation: P/B discount vs Itochu has closed (~1.1× each), but Berkshire’s ≥10% stake enforces capital discipline; TSR outlook is 6–9% CAGR through FY28, with copper strength providing double-digit upside.</li>
</ul>


Copper earnings leverage: Equity-method stakes in Collahuasi and Anglo Sur mean every +10% copper move adds ~¥25–30 bn net income (~3% EPS), giving Mitsui underappreciated upside torque.
LNG stability &amp; cash flows: Long-term contracts in Mozambique, Cameron, Qatar, and Sakhalin underpin resilient earnings and support ¥400 bn annual buybacks (~5% equity).
Valuation: P/B discount vs Itochu has closed (~1.1× each), but Berkshire’s ≥10% stake enforces capital discipline; TSR outlook is 6–9% CAGR through FY28, with copper strength providing double-digit upside.


Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Copper-LNG Torque Driving a Rerating

<ul>
<li>Sojitz is a mid-tier sōgō shōsha with, shifting its earnings base from coal and resources toward Chemicals, Energy Solutions, and Healthcare.</li>
<li>FY25 profit is guided flat at ¥115bn, with Metals weakness offset by non-resource growth; by FY27, ~80% of profits are expected from non-resource segments.</li>
<li>Shares trade at 7.8x P/E (30–40% discount to peers) with a 4.2% yield, but cash flow volatility, coal exposure, and smaller scale remain key overhangs.</li>
</ul>


Sojitz is a mid-tier sōgō shōsha with, shifting its earnings base from coal and resources toward Chemicals, Energy Solutions, and Healthcare.
FY25 profit is guided flat at ¥115bn, with Metals weakness offset by non-resource growth; by FY27, ~80% of profits are expected from non-resource segments.
Shares trade at 7.8x P/E (30–40% discount to peers) with a 4.2% yield, but cash flow volatility, coal exposure, and smaller scale remain key overhangs.


Sojitz – Non-Resource Pivot in Motion, Valuation Discount Persists

<ul>
<li>Marubeni is a top-five Japanese trading house, diversified across resources, food, leasing, power, and chemicals.</li>
<li>Management is deploying ~¥1.2tn capex through FY30, tilted toward copper expansion in Chile and renewables growth.</li>
<li>Shares trade at ~11x P/E and 7–8% FCF yield with ~5% cash return yield, offering value on dips below ¥3,000.</li>
</ul>


Marubeni is a top-five Japanese trading house, diversified across resources, food, leasing, power, and chemicals.
Management is deploying ~¥1.2tn capex through FY30, tilted toward copper expansion in Chile and renewables growth.
Shares trade at ~11x P/E and 7–8% FCF yield with ~5% cash return yield, offering value on dips below ¥3,000.


Marubeni Corporation (TSE: 8002) – Copper Torque, Platform Pivot, and Cash Returns

Japan

Mitsubishi Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company has business groups such as New Business Initiatives, IT & Electronics, Fuels, Metals, Machinery, Chemicals, Living Essentials, and Professional Services.  Mitsubishi diversifies by satellite communications through a joint venture.

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Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)

Itochu (8001 JP) — Structural Growth, Fair Valuation, Solid TSR

Article highlights strong earnings growth in non-resource sectors, steady valuation in line with peers, and significant capital returns through...

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Copper-LNG Torque Driving a Rerating

Mitsui's copper earnings leverage and LNG stability drive underappreciated upside potential, supported by resilient cash flows and strong...

Rahul Jain

Sojitz – Non-Resource Pivot in Motion, Valuation Discount Persists

Sojitz diversifies earnings away from coal and resources towards Chemicals, Energy Solutions, and Healthcare,. Trading at a discount to peers with...

Rahul Jain

Marubeni Corporation (TSE: 8002) – Copper Torque, Platform Pivot, and Cash Returns

Marubeni is a top-five Japanese trading house, diversified across resources, food, leasing, power, and chemicals. Shares trade at ~11x P/E and 7–8%...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Itochu (8001 JP) — Structural Growth, Fair Valuation, Solid TSR

​Article highlights strong earnings growth in non-resource sectors, steady valuation in line with peers, and significant capital returns through...

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Copper-LNG Torque Driving a Rerating

​Mitsui's copper earnings leverage and LNG stability drive underappreciated upside potential, supported by resilient cash flows and strong...

Rahul Jain

Sojitz – Non-Resource Pivot in Motion, Valuation Discount Persists

​Sojitz diversifies earnings away from coal and resources towards Chemicals, Energy Solutions, and Healthcare,. Trading at a discount to peers with...

Rahul Jain

Marubeni Corporation (TSE: 8002) – Copper Torque, Platform Pivot, and Cash Returns

Marubeni is a top-five Japanese trading house, diversified across resources, food, leasing, power, and chemicals. Shares trade at ~11x P/E and 7–8%...

Rahul Jain

Article highlights strong earnings growth in non-resource sectors, steady valuation in line with peers, and significant capital returns through...

Mitsui's copper earnings leverage and LNG stability drive underappreciated upside potential, supported by resilient cash flows and strong...

Sojitz diversifies earnings away from coal and resources towards Chemicals, Energy Solutions, and Healthcare,. Trading at a discount to peers with...