Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Overseas: SPX +0.7%, Nasdaq +1.1%; Microsoft +2% after OpenAi drama; Nvidia +2%</li>
<li>Today: NKY Futs 0% v cash. JPY 148.4/$; Nikkei Hits 33-Year High Amid Foreign Investment Surge</li>
<li>JapanX: Mitsubishi Electric and Nexperia partner for SiC power semiconductors; SiC tech fuels global green transformation.</li>
</ul>


Overseas: SPX +0.7%, Nasdaq +1.1%; Microsoft +2% after OpenAi drama; Nvidia +2%
Today: NKY Futs 0% v cash. JPY 148.4/$; Nikkei Hits 33-Year High Amid Foreign Investment Surge
JapanX: Mitsubishi Electric and Nexperia partner for SiC power semiconductors; SiC tech fuels global green transformation.


Ohayo Japan | Microsoft Hits All-Time High; Mitsubishi Elec Partners on SiC Chips

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX hit 52W highs as Yellen sees no US Recession;  Rates fall on "inflation behind us" narrative; Global HF unwind bearish US positions; EV WARS as Ford Slashes prices.  </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futures -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.7%; Japan Back after Marine Day Holidays to lower US rates, stronger yen, Weaker China, and Tech bid; Blackrock lifts Japan stock outlook </li>
<li>NUGGET.  JAL(9201) Double Winner(Margins+Emmissions) with Fleet Upgrade. Share price has run, but strong tailwinds on demand and operational efficiency. Watch for pullback to pick up.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX hit 52W highs as Yellen sees no US Recession;  Rates fall on "inflation behind us" narrative; Global HF unwind bearish US positions; EV WARS as Ford Slashes prices.  
JAPAN.  NKY Futures -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.7%; Japan Back after Marine Day Holidays to lower US rates, stronger yen, Weaker China, and Tech bid; Blackrock lifts Japan stock outlook 
NUGGET.  JAL(9201) Double Winner(Margins+Emmissions) with Fleet Upgrade. Share price has run, but strong tailwinds on demand and operational efficiency. Watch for pullback to pick up.


Ohayo Japan|Equities Cruise on No Recession Narrative; NUGGET: JAL(9201) A Double Winner

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Credit Suisse Rattles Markets; Spurs Equity sell off in flight to Safety trade;   UST 2Yr Yld back below 4%;  Crude Extend losses amid Banks sector worries;</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.6% vs Cash;  USDJPY 133.4.  NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues</li>
<li>NUGGET.  As Japan Hosts "Defense and Security Equipment International (DSEI) JAPAN"  trade show this week,  it will highlight opportunities for local defense contractors overseas.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Credit Suisse Rattles Markets; Spurs Equity sell off in flight to Safety trade;   UST 2Yr Yld back below 4%;  Crude Extend losses amid Banks sector worries;
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.6% vs Cash;  USDJPY 133.4.  NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues
NUGGET.  As Japan Hosts "Defense and Security Equipment International (DSEI) JAPAN"  trade show this week,  it will highlight opportunities for local defense contractors overseas.


Good Morning Japan |Now Its Credit Suisse-Markets Rattled; NUGGET: Fuel for Japan's Defense Stocks

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nippon Steel, Kioxia.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nippon Steel, Kioxia.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jul): Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Kioxia

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We follow up our original piece after the release of full-year results and the annual IR day.</li>
<li>Some decent outperformance from the stock despite AI disruption fears.</li>
<li>Stock is cheap if the medium-term plan is achieved with Q1 results, the first scorecard.</li>
</ul>


We follow up our original piece after the release of full-year results and the annual IR day.
Some decent outperformance from the stock despite AI disruption fears.
Stock is cheap if the medium-term plan is achieved with Q1 results, the first scorecard.


NEC (6701.T) – Thesis Playing Out, Market Not Fully Convinced

Japan

Mitsubishi Electric Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets electronic equipment.  The Company's products include industrial machinery, heavy electric machinery, data communications systems, electronic devices, and consumer electronics.

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Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JP)

Ohayo Japan | Microsoft Hits All-Time High; Mitsubishi Elec Partners on SiC Chips

Global stock markets rise, led by Nasdaq and SPX; Microsoft and Nvidia gain after OpenAi controversy; Nikkei reaches a 33-year high due to...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Equities Cruise on No Recession Narrative; NUGGET: JAL(9201) A Double Winner

SPX hit 52W highs as no recession/inflation behind us narrative dominates; NKY Futures -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.7%; Japan to lower US rates,...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Now Its Credit Suisse-Markets Rattled; NUGGET: Fuel for Japan's Defense Stocks

NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues. NUGGET:...

Mark Chadwick

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jul): Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Kioxia

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NEC (6701.T) – Thesis Playing Out, Market Not Fully Convinced

+6% after Q1results. revenue +14.5% to ¥819.8bn; non-GAAP OP +¥34.7bn to ¥74.7bn. FY OP guidance raised ¥10bn to ¥430bn (revenue +¥40bn to...

Rikki Malik

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Ohayo Japan | Microsoft Hits All-Time High; Mitsubishi Elec Partners on SiC Chips

​Global stock markets rise, led by Nasdaq and SPX; Microsoft and Nvidia gain after OpenAi controversy; Nikkei reaches a 33-year high due to...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Equities Cruise on No Recession Narrative; NUGGET: JAL(9201) A Double Winner

SPX hit 52W highs as no recession/inflation behind us narrative dominates; NKY Futures -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.7%; Japan to lower US rates,...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Now Its Credit Suisse-Markets Rattled; NUGGET: Fuel for Japan's Defense Stocks

NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues. NUGGET:...

Mark Chadwick

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jul): Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Kioxia

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NEC (6701.T) – Thesis Playing Out, Market Not Fully Convinced

+6% after Q1results. revenue +14.5% to ¥819.8bn; non-GAAP OP +¥34.7bn to ¥74.7bn. FY OP guidance raised ¥10bn to ¥430bn (revenue +¥40bn to...

Rikki Malik

Global stock markets rise, led by Nasdaq and SPX; Microsoft and Nvidia gain after OpenAi controversy; Nikkei reaches a 33-year high due to...