Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At a zero net debt zero net cash (securities liquidated) Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio of 11.3x expected Net Income, the multiple offered <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP)</a> is not a knock-out.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> investors hoping for a clean (er) exit, or where the back-end terms were clearly defined, will be disappointed. And minorities are active in this name. Avoid</li>
<li>New Trump Tariffs are not based on any actual tariffs, or non-tariff measures. The simple/explicit assumption is that if you run a trade surplus with the US, you are cheating.</li>
</ul>


At a zero net debt zero net cash (securities liquidated) Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio of 11.3x expected Net Income, the multiple offered Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP) is not a knock-out.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) investors hoping for a clean (er) exit, or where the back-end terms were clearly defined, will be disappointed. And minorities are active in this name. Avoid
New Trump Tariffs are not based on any actual tariffs, or non-tariff measures. The simple/explicit assumption is that if you run a trade surplus with the US, you are cheating.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

Travis Lundy

Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There was a Nikkei article in December about the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13613:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)</a> selling its interests in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The stock popped. Then popped some more. It was not expensive yet, but no longer dirt cheap. Now the stock is falling as Trump Tariffs threaten to throttle exports.</li>
<li>The reasons why this takeout price could be "high" are unchanged. Tariffs meant to drive US-manufacturing don't reduce need for forklifts. Logisnext is not badly placed.</li>
</ul>


There was a Nikkei article in December about the Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) selling its interests in Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP). 
The stock popped. Then popped some more. It was not expensive yet, but no longer dirt cheap. Now the stock is falling as Trump Tariffs threaten to throttle exports.
The reasons why this takeout price could be "high" are unchanged. Tariffs meant to drive US-manufacturing don't reduce need for forklifts. Logisnext is not badly placed.


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.</li>
<li>The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024</li>
<li>We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates</li>
</ul>


Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.
The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024
We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates


Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Tech and AI down again ahead of Trump's tariff 'liberation day' on April 2.</li>
<li>Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas's $2bn advance payment for SiC under jeopardy.</li>
<li>Dead rat, anyone? Should be positive for Yoshinoya as Sukiya shutters most stores.</li>
</ul>


Tech and AI down again ahead of Trump's tariff 'liberation day' on April 2.
Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas's $2bn advance payment for SiC under jeopardy.
Dead rat, anyone? Should be positive for Yoshinoya as Sukiya shutters most stores.


Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>The Japanese stock market posted solid gains over the past week, with the Topix rising 3.3% and the Nikkei advancing 1.7%</li>
<li>The Bank of Japan maintained its key short-term interest rate at  0.5% in March, given a cautious view over the global macro outlook</li>
<li>
 MHI shares rose 16% this week, driven by optimism over Japan’s nuclear energy expansion plans and rising defense commitments.</li>
</ul>


The Japanese stock market posted solid gains over the past week, with the Topix rising 3.3% and the Nikkei advancing 1.7%
The Bank of Japan maintained its key short-term interest rate at  0.5% in March, given a cautious view over the global macro outlook

 MHI shares rose 16% this week, driven by optimism over Japan’s nuclear energy expansion plans and rising defense commitments.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Banks & Traders Rally

Japan

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Logisnext is dipping on market dip (some would put it more strongly). This deal is not specifically tariff-risk (imho) because US mfg plants are an...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

It's the perfect storm for the Japanese market. Tariffs, JPY, rising rates and inflation, with growth weakening. The 2,800 level on Topix has been...

Rikki Malik

Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Tech and AI still down as Trump's liberation day approaches; Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas in poor position, Yoshinoya should benefit from Sukiya...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Banks & Traders Rally

Japanese stock market sees solid gains, Bank of Japan holds interest rate, MHI shares surge on nuclear energy and defense optimism.

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Logisnext is dipping on market dip (some would put it more strongly). This deal is not specifically tariff-risk (imho) because US mfg plants are an...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

It's the perfect storm for the Japanese market. Tariffs, JPY, rising rates and inflation, with growth weakening. The 2,800 level on Topix has been...

Rikki Malik

Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Tech and AI still down as Trump's liberation day approaches; Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas in poor position, Yoshinoya should benefit from Sukiya...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Banks & Traders Rally

​Japanese stock market sees solid gains, Bank of Japan holds interest rate, MHI shares surge on nuclear energy and defense optimism.

Mark Chadwick

Japanese stock market sees solid gains, Bank of Japan holds interest rate, MHI shares surge on nuclear energy and defense optimism.