Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Masayoshi Son is floating a $1trn AI factory in Arizona in exchange for tax breaks.</li>
<li>NTT Data out, Rohm in. Downside for Ibiden, but also small buying for Fasty, Terumo, Konami and others.</li>
<li>Renesas announces details of its Wolfspeed restructuring deal which includes kitchen sinking the losses this year.</li>
</ul>


Masayoshi Son is floating a $1trn AI factory in Arizona in exchange for tax breaks.
NTT Data out, Rohm in. Downside for Ibiden, but also small buying for Fasty, Terumo, Konami and others.
Renesas announces details of its Wolfspeed restructuring deal which includes kitchen sinking the losses this year.


Japan Morning Connection: US Directly Attacks Iran and Requests Japan to Spend 5% of GDP on Defense

<ul>
<li>Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.</li>
<li>Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.</li>
<li>Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.</li>
</ul>


Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.
Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.
Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

<ul>
<li>NVDA numbers were inline, but Blackwell rollout and outlook for further sovereign expansion sets bullish tone.</li>
<li>HP numbers point to bleak demand for PC's due to rising import costs and a slower economy</li>
<li>Rohm +13% as its switches to a more AI focused bucket + NKY potential.</li>
</ul>


NVDA numbers were inline, but Blackwell rollout and outlook for further sovereign expansion sets bullish tone.
HP numbers point to bleak demand for PC's due to rising import costs and a slower economy
Rohm +13% as its switches to a more AI focused bucket + NKY potential.


Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers and Tariffs Blocked by US Trade Court Sending Futures Higher

<ul>
<li>Semi's and cons disc leading way higher, Japan set for strong start.</li>
<li>Apple breaking downtrend on news its releasing a new game center to better compete against consoles.</li>
<li>Nuclear names surging again which sets a continued positive tone for heavies and related.</li>
</ul>


Semi's and cons disc leading way higher, Japan set for strong start.
Apple breaking downtrend on news its releasing a new game center to better compete against consoles.
Nuclear names surging again which sets a continued positive tone for heavies and related.


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On with Investors Liking Optimistic Tone from EU-US Talks

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we discussed that 5110-5120 on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) was a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>We'll maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115; we would be buyers on pullbacks to these levels.</li>
<li>We would also be buyers at 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US, which are shorter-term supports.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we discussed that 5110-5120 on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) was a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
We'll maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115; we would be buyers on pullbacks to these levels.
We would also be buyers at 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US, which are shorter-term supports.


MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports. Many Buys

Japan

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Directly Attacks Iran and Requests Japan to Spend 5% of GDP on Defense

Defense related should be supported by reports on GDP defense spending along with Trump's move to directly bomb Iranian nuclear sites. Masayoshi...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

Fossil fuel related names lead the way higher as restrictions on toxic gas emissions are rolled back. Hydrocarbon names also benefit.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers and Tariffs Blocked by US Trade Court Sending Futures Higher

Rohm +13% after news that it will be manufacturing chips for AI servers and potential NKY inclusion. HP dropping due to concerns over rising import...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On with Investors Liking Optimistic Tone from EU-US Talks

May be a lift for names in Japan with high EU exposures. EU defence spending increasing sentiment for anything related to nuclear plant...

Andrew Jackson

MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports. Many Buys

MSCI $ACWI Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports; Bullish Outlook Intact. Discussed Thursday pre-market that a...

Vermilion Research

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